There will be few prior results to draw from when it comes to the 2024 Iowa Corn 350 on Sunday since this is the first visit to Iowa Speedway for the NASCAR Cup Series. While there have not been any Cup Series races at this track, Christopher Bell won the last two Xfinity Series races held at Iowa (2018, 2019). Bell is the 4-1 favorite in the 2024 Iowa Corn 350 odds, followed by Kyle Larson (11-2) and Denny Hamlin (7-1). Larson led 144 laps at Richmond earlier this year, followed that up with 86 laps led at Martinsville, and will be on Sunday's pole. Joey Logano is a 12-1 longshot in the 2024 NASCAR at Iowa odds, but he's excelled when NASCAR heads to a track for the first time.

Logano won in the first running of NASCAR at the Los Angeles Coliseum (2022), won the first Cup Series race at Gateway and won the first race on the Bristol dirt track, so should you back him with your 2024 Iowa Corn 350 prediction? The green flag drops at 7 p.m. ET. Before making any 2024 NASCAR at Iowa predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 Iowa Corn 350 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model was red-hot in 2023, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two of the playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. 

Then it called its first winner of the 2024 season with Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2024 Iowa Corn 350 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Iowa leaderboard.

Top 2024 Iowa Corn 350 predictions

For the 2024 Iowa Corn 350, the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's a 16-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Iowa odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Elliott ranks second in the Cup Series standings, racking up eight top-10 finishes in his first 16 races of the season. The 2020 Cup Series champion won at Texas Motor Speedway, finished third at Kansas and is coming off a fourth-place finish at Sonoma.

Elliott became the eighth driver to start a Cup Series season with 16 consecutive top-20 finishes, joining drivers like Dale Earnhardt (1987), Bill Elliott (1988) and Kevin Harvick (2016). Elliott won a race at Iowa Speedway in the ARCA Menards Series in 2012, making him one of the few drivers in the Cup Series who have won a race at the track. Elliott told reporters that Iowa has "been a worthy facility for a long time," and the model believes he can make the most of this opportunity.

Another massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the top Vegas favorites at 15-2, fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2024 Iowa Corn 350 starting lineup. The defending NASCAR Cup Series champion had a strong first month of the season and was leading the NASCAR standings after the first four races but he's been on a downslide since.

He's only had one top-five finish in his last 12 starts and he's finished outside the top 10 in nine of those races. Blaney was an Xfinity Series and a Truck Series winner at Iowa previously but he'll need to solve serious equipment issues before he can be taken seriously as a contender this weekend or any other. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.

How to make 2024 NASCAR at Iowa picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2024 Iowa Corn 350 odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Iowa Corn 350 2024 at Iowa, and which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Iowa odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Iowa leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year.

2024 Iowa Corn 350 odds, drivers, lineup

See full NASCAR at Iowa picks at SportsLine

Christopher Bell 4-1
Kyle Larson 11-2
Denny Hamlin 7-1
Ryan Blaney 15-2
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Ty Gibbs 10-1
William Byron 11-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
Joey Logano 12-1
Tyler Reddick 12-1
Chase Elliott 16-1
Chris Buescher 20-1
Kyle Busch 25-1
Ross Chastain 28-1
Josh Berry 40-1
Chase Briscoe 45-1
Alex Bowman 50-1
Bubba Wallace 50-1
Austin Cindric 50-1
Noah Gragson 100-1
Michael McDowell 100-1
Ryan Preece 125-1
Daniel Suarez 200-1
Todd Gilliland 200-1
Carson Hocevar 200-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 250-1
Erik Jones 250-1
A.J. Allmendinger 250-1
Austin Dillon 250-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Zane Smith 750-1
John Hunter Nemechek 1000-1
Harrison Burton 1500-1
Corey Lajoie 2000-1
Daniel Hemric 5000-1
Kaz Grala 5000-1
David Starr 5000-1