Camping World 400 odds, top picks 2019: NASCAR model says Denny Hamlin surprises at Chicago

The NASCAR schedule continues on Sunday at Chicagoland Speedway with the 2019 Camping World 400. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET and the 1.5-mile oval has attracted the attention of amateur and professional bettors alike. Kyle Busch won this race last season and has four wins, 10 top-five finishes and 15 top-10 runs already in 16 starts this season. Busch is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Camping World 400 odds, but Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. are both running extremely well and breathing down Busch's neck at 9-2 and 6-1, respectively. All three have multiple victories to their name in the Windy City and a total of seven drivers are getting 10-1 NASCAR at Chicago odds or shorter. Before you make your 2019 Camping World 400 picks, be sure to see the NASCAR at Chicago projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

The model is off to an extremely strong start in NASCAR this year. Last week, it correctly predicted Truex's victory at the Toyota/Save Mart 350. It also called Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting Logano, the eventual winner, in its projected top five. Additionally, it had Coca-Cola 600 winner Truex in its top two and nailed Kyle Busch's huge win at Pocono earlier this month.

It also made some huge calls last year, including correctly projecting wins for Busch at Chicago and Truex at Sonoma. It also nailed three of the top four finishers at Michigan and two of the top four at the Daytona 500. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Chicagoland Speedway are in his blood. Now, his model simulated the 2019 Camping World 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR at Chicago 2019, we can tell you the model is high on Denny Hamlin, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 18-1. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Hamlin is having a strong season so far, with wins at the Daytona 500 and O'Reilly Auto Parts 500. Hamlin has managed to find his way to the front in nine of the 16 races this year, and his win at Texas proves his car is a perfect fit for 1.5-mile ovals with NASCAR unveiling a new aerodynamics package this season.

Hamlin also has a strong history at Chicagoland Speedway. He won at the Joliet track in 2015 and has finished in the top 10 in his last five starts in Chicago. Book Hamlin as one of your top 2019 NASCAR at Chicago picks on Sunday.

And a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, one of the top Vegas favorites at 9-2 NASCAR at Chicago odds, barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR at Chicago lineup.

Harvick has two career victories at Chicagoland Speedway, but his last one came all the way back in 2002. And Harvick has had a tough time getting all the way to the front despite being one of the favorites in nearly every race this year. In fact, he hasn't finished better than fourth in a race all season and has had three finishes outside the top 20 altogether. He's also finished well outside the top 15 in two of his four starts at Chicago, so there are plenty of reasons to fade Harvick on Sunday.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2019 NASCAR at Chicago odds of 18-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big.

So who wins the 2019 Camping World 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest NASCAR odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard for the 2019 Camping World 400, all from the model that just nailed Truex winning at Sonoma last week.

Kyle Busch 3-1
Kevin Harvick 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
Brad Keselowski 8-1
Joey Logano 8-1
Chase Elliott 10-1
Kyle Larson 10-1
Clint Bowyer 18-1
Denny Hamlin 18-1
Ryan Blaney 20-1
Kurt Busch 20-1
Erik Jones 20-1
Aric Almirola 30-1
Jimmie Johnson 30-1
Alex Bowman 30-1
Daniel Suarez 40-1

Our Latest Stories