NASCAR at Michigan 2018 odds, picks: Proven computer model reveals surprising predictions for Consumers Energy 400

The 2018 NASCAR season rolls on with the 2018 Consumers Energy 400 on Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET at Michigan International Speedway. Kevin Harvick is the favorite at 11-5 in the 2018 NASCAR at Michigan odds, followed closely by Kyle Busch at 7-2 and Kyle Larson at 5-1. Before you lock in your 2018 NASCAR at Michigan picks, you need to see what SportsLine's projection model has to say. The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has a proven track record in multiple sports. It also powers McClure's DFS projections, which have led him to over $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events like this are in his blood, and his model has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has already made several huge calls in NASCAR this year, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick at the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick's win at the KC Masterpiece 400. It also nailed five of the top 10 at Bristol and two of the top five at Daytona, just to name a few. Anybody following its picks this season is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Michigan field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

One surprising pick from the model for the Consumers Energy 400: Larson, one of the top Vegas favorites at 5-1, barely cracks the top 10.

Larson will start from the sixth position Sunday, but finished 28th at Michigan earlier this year and has just two top-10 finishes in his Past five starts. There are far better values in this loaded field.

Another shocker: Kurt Busch, going off at 30-1, makes a run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Busch was strong in the June race at Michigan, finishing third after leading almost 50 laps. He has three career victories at Michigan, and Vegas is significantly undervaluing him for the Consumers Energy 400, so be sure to lock him in as a value pick.

The model is also targeting another long shot who could make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who bets on this underdog could strike it rich.

So who wins the 2018 Consumers Energy 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Check out the odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard from the model that is crushing its NASCAR picks this year.

Kevin Harvick 11-5
Kyle Busch 7-2
Kyle Larson 5-1   
Ryan Blaney 10-1  
Erik Jones 10-1   
Martin Truex Jr. 12-1
Clint Bowyer 12-1 
Denny Hamlin 12-1   
Brad Keselowski 15-1 
Joey Logano 15-1     
Chase Elliott 30-1
Kurt Busch 30-1
Aric Almirola 50-1
Daniel Suarez 60-1

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