Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics take the floor against Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat on Wednesday evening. The two teams match up in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals, with the Heat currently leading the best-of-seven series by a 2-1 margin. Gordon Hayward is off the injury report entirely after returning for the Celtics in Game 3, though Romeo Langford (wrist) is out for Boston. Gabe Vincent (knee) is listed as questionable for the Heat.
William Hill lists the Celtics as 3.5-point favorites in Orlando, up from the opening line, and tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 212 in the latest Celtics vs. Heat odds. Before you make any Heat vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It's also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA's restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Celtics vs. Heat spread: Celtics -3.5
- Celtics vs. Heat over-under: 212 points
- Celtics vs. Heat money line: Celtics -155, Heat +135
- BOS: The Celtics are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- MIA: The Heat are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Celtics can cover
The Celtics are the best defensive team in the playoffs, including the No. 1 defensive rating in the league. Boston is allowing only 1.04 points per possession in the postseason, and Brad Stevens' team also leads the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed. The Celtics are versatile and athletic with the ability to contest shots, leading to league-leading marks in two-point percentage (41.2 percent) and three-point percentage (31.4 percentage) allowed in the playoffs.
Offensively, the Celtics are talented and multi-faceted, with four legitimate stars to carry the load. The return of Hayward adds another dimension, with Tatum (25.3 points, 10.3 rebounds per game), Jaylen Brown (21.1 points, 7.3 rebounds) and Kemba Walker (19.9 points, 4.9 assists) operating at a high level.
Why the Heat can cover
The Heat are a talented offensive team, led by Goran Dragic, Butler and Bam Adebayo. Dragic has been a revelation in the playoffs, averaging 21.3 points and 4.7 assists per game, and he allows Miami to function well in the pick-and-roll game. Butler is the team's centerpiece, averaging 20.6 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, and Adebayo is a two-way force, anchoring the defense and averaging 17.7 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in the postseason.
Miami is No. 2 in free throw rate among playoff teams, with top-four marks in assist-to-turnover ratio and shooting efficiency. Defensively, the Heat are tremendous on the glass, pulling down 77.0 percent of missed shots from their opponents, and Miami ranks No. 4 in the NBA Playoffs in shooting efficiency allowed and steals per game.
How to make Celtics vs. Heat picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with Tatum and Dragic projected to exceed their season-long scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Heat spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.