The Dallas Mavericks will try to even their first-round playoff series with the Los Angeles Clippers at 1-1 on Wednesday when the teams collide at AdventHealth Arena on the ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex near Orlando, Fla. The seventh-seeded Mavericks pushed the Clippers, the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, in Game 1 on Monday but lost 118-110. Dallas played without Kristaps Porzingis for much of the second half after he received his second technical foul. Meanwhile, the Clippers got 29 points from Kawhi Leonard and 27 points from Paul George.
Tip-off for Game 2 is at 9 p.m. ET from the NBA bubble in Orlando. William Hill lists Los Angeles as a 5.5-point favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points William Hill thinks will be scored, is 231.5 in the latest Clippers vs. Mavericks odds. Before making any Mavericks vs. Clippers picks, see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned well over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 58-32 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. Amazingly, it hasn't missed a single top-rated pick (5-0) since the NBA's restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Clippers vs. Mavericks spread: Los Angeles -5.5
- Clippers vs. Mavericks over-under: 231.5 points
- Clippers vs. Mavericks money line: Los Angeles -220, Dallas +190
- LAC: Kawhi Leonard has scored at least 23 points in 12 consecutive games
- DAL: Luka Doncic ranked third in the NBA in assists (8.8 per game)
Why the Clippers can cover
The Clippers have dominated the Mavericks in their recent meetings. Los Angeles is going for its sixth straight win over Dallas dating back to last season. The Clippers are 4-0 against the Mavericks this year, with the average margin of victory being 10.3 points per game.
In addition, Montrezl Harrell should be even better in his second game back for Los Angeles. The versatile forward, who averaged 18.6 points and 7.1 rebounds per game in the regular season, missed the eight seeding games in the bubble while dealing with the death of his grandmother. In his first game since March 10, Harrell had six points and two rebounds in 15 minutes.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas presumably will get a full game out of Porzingis on Wednesday. On Monday, he was ejected with 9:10 remaining in the third quarter and the Mavericks leading 71-66. Porzingis, who had never before been ejected in his career, had 14 points and six rebounds in 20 minutes. Los Angeles outscored the Mavericks 21-11 the rest of the third quarter to take the lead.
According to advanced analytics, Dallas has the best offense in NBA history. The Mavericks averaged 115.9 points per 100 possessions during the regular season. That set the record for the best single-season NBA rating, breaking the mark set last season by the Golden State Warriors.
How to make Clippers vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over the total, as four players go for more than 20 points in the simulations. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Clippers vs. Mavericks spread to jump on Wednesday, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.