The Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Clippers square off in Game 3 of a best-of-seven 2020 NBA Playoffs series on Monday evening. Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets picked up a much-needed win in Game 2, with the Clippers looking to recapture the dominant success enjoyed in Game 1. Jokic (wrist) is a game-time decision for this matchup, while Will Barton (knee) is out of action for Game 3. The Clippers enter this game with no injuries to report.
Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET in Orlando. The latest Clippers vs. Nuggets odds from William Hill list Los Angeles as a nine-point favorite, up 1.5 points from the opening line. The over-under for total points expected is 220.5. Before making any Nuggets vs. Clippers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It's also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA's restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Clippers vs. Nuggets spread: Clippers -9
- Clippers vs. Nuggets over-under: 220.5 points
- Clippers vs. Nuggets money line: Clippers -450, Nuggets +370
- LAC: The Clippers are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- DEN: The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Clippers can cover
The Clippers have perhaps the best postseason player in the NBA in Kawhi Leonard, which opens many doors for Doc Rivers' team. Leonard, who won the 2019 NBA Finals MVP award in leading the Raptors to the championship, is averaging 29.9 points and 9.1 rebounds per game during the NBA Playoffs 2020. Not only is he a game-changing offensive force, Leonard is also a top-flight defender, pairing with Paul George to form the NBA's best wing duo.
As a team, the Clippers have been brilliant offensively in the playoffs, ranking No. 2 in offensive rating at 119.8 points per 100 possessions. That excellence also includes top-two ratings in effective field-goal percentage and true shooting percentage, with Denver's defense struggling throughout its own playoff run. On the defensive side, the Clippers are also strong, ranking in the top five in points allowed per possession and shooting efficiency allowed during the regular season. As evidenced by Game 2, the Nuggets are an explosive offensive team, but the Clippers do have the ability to slow them down in Game 3.
Why the Nuggets can cover
While the Nuggets may have trouble slowing the Clippers' offense on a per-possession basis, Denver does have a tremendous offense. The Nuggets rank fourth in the NBA Playoffs 2020 in offensive efficiency, scoring 114.4 points per 100 possessions, and Denver also ranked in the top five during the regular season.
Jamal Murray is experiencing a renaissance as a scorer, averaging 28.9 points per game in the postseason. The Nuggets are also a tremendous offensive rebounding team, ranking in the top three of the NBA in the regular season and No. 2 in the league in the playoffs, pulling down 28.8 percent of available rebounds after missed shots.
How to make Clippers vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with Leonard and Murray projected to exceed their regular-season scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Clippers vs. Nuggets spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.