The eyes of the sports world will be on Fiserv Forum on Wednesday night. The venue hosts Game 4 of the 2021 NBA Finals between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix won the first two games of the best-of-seven series at home, taking control of the proceedings. Milwaukee answered with a home win on Sunday, placing a great deal of emphasis on Game 4.
Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Bucks as 4.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 220.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Bucks picks or NBA Finals 2021 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $600 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the second week of the 2021 NBA Finals on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in its Bucks vs. Suns picks and predictions for Game 4 of the NBA Finals 2021. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Bucks:
- Suns vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -4.5
- Suns vs. Bucks over-under: 220.5 points
- Suns vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -190, Suns +170
- PHX: The Suns are 6-2 against the spread in the last eight road games
- MIL: The Bucks are 5-1 against the spread in the last six home games
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix has tremendous talent and, while Giannis Antetokounmpo may be the biggest star, the Suns can attack the opposition in myriad ways. Devin Booker leads the way from a scoring standpoint, putting up 26.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game in the playoffs. Though he struggled in Game 3, Booker is resilient and the Bucks don't have fantastic answers for his abilities. Chris Paul has been tremendous in the 2021 NBA Finals, averaging 24.7 points and 8.7 assists per game, and he has advantages in the pick-and-roll against Milwaukee's drop coverage.
Deandre Ayton was dominant in Game 3 before foul trouble sidelined him, and he is putting up 16.7 points and 13.0 rebounds per contest. Moreover, Phoenix is the deeper team, and the Suns can count on shooting and defense from supporting pieces like Mikal Bridges and Jae Crowder, who allow the Suns to unlock small-ball lineups that can be effective against the bigger team in Milwaukee.
Why the Bucks can cover
Even with the Bucks trailing 2-1, Antetokounmpo is the story of the series right now. The two-time NBA MVP exploded for 41 points, 13 rebounds and six assists in Game 3, dominating the proceedings. With that performance as part of his overall profile, Antetokounmpo is averaging 34.3 points, 14.0 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game, all while contributing his high-level defense on the other end.
However, Antetokounmpo's dominance was accompanied by tremendous supporting play in Game 3, which led to a winning formula. Jrue Holiday broke out of a slump with 21 points and nine assists, and the Bucks received considerable contributions from players like Bobby Portis and Pat Connaughton. From there, Khris Middleton is a top-level shot-maker, as evidenced by his per-game averages of 22.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists in the playoffs. Overall, the Bucks are a tremendous two-way team and their talent level was on full display in what was a dominant Game 3 win in their own backyard.
How to make Bucks vs. Suns picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the team combining for 218 points in the simulations. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bucks vs Suns? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Suns vs Bucks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.