The Philadelphia 76ers welcome the Atlanta Hawks to Wells Fargo Center for a pivotal Game 5 showdown on Wednesday evening. The winner will assume control of the best-of-seven playoff series, with the teams knotted at 2-2 after four games. Atlanta took Game 1 before losing the next two games, but the Hawks erased an 18-point deficit for a win in Game 4. Philadelphia has won 11 of its last 12 homes games, while Atlanta has won 10 of its last 13 games overall.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. William Hill lists Philadelphia as seven-point home favorites, while the over-under for total points scored is 224 in the latest 76ers vs. Hawks odds. Before you make any Hawks vs. 76ers picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $700 on its top-rated picks this season and entered this week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Hawks vs. 76ers spread: 76ers -7
- Hawks vs. 76ers over-under: 224 points
- Hawks vs. 76ers money line: 76ers -310, Hawks +255
- ATL: The Hawks are 5-10 against the spread as road underdogs
- PHI: The 76ers are 17-10-1 against the spread as home favorites
Why the Hawks can cover
Atlanta emerged victorious in Game 4 despite an ugly shooting night. The Hawks turned the ball over only four times on Monday, approaching the best ball security mark in NBA Playoff history, while also generating 21 second-chance points on 12 offensive rebounds. Given their track record from the regular season, it's safe to assume the Hawks will shoot better in Game 5. Atlanta made 37.3 percent of its 3-point field goals during the regular season.
Trae Young has been masterful in the playoffs, averaging 28.3 points and 10.7 assists per game, and he generated a whopping 18 assists in Game 4. Still, it could be argued that Atlanta's biggest gains came defensively. For the first time in the series, the Hawks held Embiid in check, and the 76ers scored only 38 points after halftime in Game 4. Atlanta has been an above-average defensive team since Nate McMillan took over in early March, and that includes the No. 3 mark in the NBA in 3-point prevention (34.9 percent) during the regular season.
Why the 76ers can cover
Philadelphia has the overall talent advantage in this matchup, particularly with De'Andre Hunter (knee) sidelined. The 76ers were the No. 2 defensive team in the NBA this season, holding opponents to 1.07 points per possession. If not for an all-time poor performance from Joel Embiid in Game 4, Philadelphia could be in full control of the series. In fact, the 76ers forced only four turnovers in the last game, but Philadelphia finished in the top three of the NBA in blocks (6.2 per game), steals (9.1 per game) and turnover rate (15.4 percent).
On the offensive end, Embiid is a dominant force, averaging 28.5 points and 10.6 rebounds per game during the regular season, and Tobias Harris averaged 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds per game in his own right. Ben Simmons adds a well-rounded game and, as a team, Philadelphia puts consistent pressure on the rim, averaging 25.5 free throw attempts per game and shooting 47.6 percent from the floor, a top-10 figure in the NBA.
How to make 76ers vs. Hawks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can get this pick only on SportsLine.
So who wins Hawks vs. 76ers? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the 76ers vs. Hawks spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.