The Utah Jazz hit the road to face the Los Angeles Clippers in a win-or-go-home scenario on Friday. Utah trails Los Angeles by a 3-2 margin in the series after three consecutive losses. The Clippers upset the Jazz on the road in Game 6, riding a stellar effort from Paul George. Donovan Mitchell (ankle) and Mike Conley (hamstring) are questionable for the Jazz. Kawhi Leonard (knee) and Serge Ibaka (back) are out for the Clippers.
Tip-off for this 2021 NBA Playoffs matchup is set for 10 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. The latest Clippers vs. Jazz odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Utah as a two-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 221. Before finalizing any Jazz vs. Clippers picks or NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $700 on its top-rated picks this season and entered this week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Jazz vs. Clippers spread: Jazz -2
- Jazz vs. Clippers over-under: 221 points
- Jazz vs. Clippers money line: Jazz -135, Clippers +115
- Utah: The Jazz are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- L.A.: The Clippers are 3-2-1 ATS as home underdogs
Why the Jazz can cover
Utah trails in the series but is still the better team on paper. The Jazz were the only team in the NBA with top-five units on both ends of the floor, and they led the NBA in net rating, out-scoring opponents by 9.0 points per 100 possessions. The absence of Conley has loomed large for Utah, but the Jazz are still healthier than the Clippers when considering the absence of Leonard.
Mitchell is averaging 34.0 points per game in the series and Rudy Gobert is the NBA's best interior defender, walling off the rim against any opposition. As a team, the Jazz led the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed this season, and they were also No. 2 in defensive rebound rate at nearly 76 percent. Against the Leonard-less Clippers, stops should be easier to come by, and Leonard's absence will make things easier for Utah's offense. The Jazz led the NBA in 3-pointers made, hitting 16.7 per game in the regular season.
Why the Clippers can cover
Los Angeles performed extremely well in Game 5 and stole home-court advantage in the process. The absence of Leonard looms large, but the Clippers are a deep, talented team and they have an impressive statistical pedigree. Los Angeles was the No. 3 offensive team in the NBA this season, scoring nearly 1.17 points per possession, and the Clippers led the league in both 3-point accuracy (41.1 percent) and free-throw accuracy (83.9 percent). That combination led to the No. 2 true shooting percentage (59.9 percent) in the NBA, and the Clippers were No. 7 in turnovers, committing only 13.2 per contest.
Defensively, Los Angeles has stymied Utah with its switching scheme, forcing the Jazz out of the ball movement that makes them incredibly successful. The Clippers were a top-eight team in both defensive efficiency and 3-point accuracy allowed during the regular season, and they will be forced to lean on their defense to mitigate part of Leonard's absence offensively.
How to make Jazz vs. Clippers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with Bojan Bogdanovic and George projected to exceed their season-long scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can get that Clippers vs. Jazz pick only on SportsLine.
So who wins Clippers vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Jazz vs. Clippers spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.