The Memphis Grizzlies look to avoid elimination from the 2021 NBA Playoffs on Wednesday night. The Grizzlies visit Salt Lake City to face the Utah Jazz in Game 5 of a first round matchup. Memphis trails 3-1 in the series after winning Game 1 on the road. With a win, Utah would advance to face the winner of the first round clash between the Dallas Mavericks and the Los Angeles Clippers.
Tip-off is at 9:30 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Jazz as 9.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 226 in the latest Grizzlies vs. Jazz odds. Before you make any Jazz vs. Grizzlies picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the second full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz spread: Jazz -9.5
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz over-under: 226 points
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz money line: Jazz -550, Grizzlies +425
- MEM: The Grizzlies are 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 games
- UTAH: The Jazz are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Grizzlies can cover
Memphis is enjoying legitimate offensive success against the Jazz during the series. The Grizzlies are scoring 117.1 points per 100 possessions, an elite figure by any description, and some of their underlying numbers are also strong. Memphis is producing 2.29 assists for every turnover, the No. 1 mark in the playoffs, and the Grizzlies also lead the postseason with a 9.6 percent turnover rate. The Grizzlies are grabbing 30.0 percent of their own missed shots, up from an already impressive 28.5 percent in the regular season, and they have exploited Utah's perimeter defense.
Ja Morant is averaging 31.0 points and 7.5 assists per game in the series, with Dillon Brooks putting up 25.5 points per game of his own. While Memphis has struggled defensively, the Grizzlies did rank No. 7 in the NBA in defensive efficiency in the regular season, and that provides some level of optimism for Game 5. Finally, the Grizzlies are a top-five defensive rebounding team in the playoffs, limiting the Jazz to only one shot on 73.1 percent of occasions.
Why the Jazz can cover
The Jazz were the best team in the NBA during the regular season, and that informs their success to this point in the series. Utah was a top-five offensive team, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession, with the Jazz leading the NBA in 3-pointers (16.7 per game). Quin Snyder's team deploys a balanced offensive attack, with top-five marks in 3-point accuracy (38.9 percent) and offensive rebound rate (28.9 percent) and top-10 figures in two-point shooting (54.4 percent) and free throw accuracy (79.9 percent).
On the defensive side of the floor, the Jazz are also elite, with Rudy Gobert captaining a top-three group in the NBA. Utah led the league in shooting efficiency allowed during the regular season. From there, the Jazz ranked in the top three in myriad categories, including field goal percentage allowed, defensive rebound rate, free throw attempts allowed and assists allowed.
How to make Jazz vs. Grizzlies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 220 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Grizzlies vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.