Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks visit the Wells Fargo Center to face Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday evening. The stakes couldn't be higher, as the second round matchup is knotted at 3-3 and Game 7 looms. Both teams have won twice on the road in the series, though the top-seeded 76ers have home-court advantage in Sunday's pivotal contest. Embiid (knee) is officially listed as questionable for Philadelphia, with Danny Green (calf) ruled out. Young (shoulder) is probable for Atlanta, with Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) listed as questionable and both De'Andre Hunter (knee) and Cam Reddish (Achilles) ruled out.
Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Sixers as seven-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 215.5 in the latest Hawks vs. 76ers odds. Before you make any 76ers vs. Hawks picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the conference semifinals of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Hawks vs. 76ers spread: 76ers -7
- Hawks vs. 76ers over-under: 215.5 points
- Hawks vs. 76ers money line: 76ers -290, Hawks +245
- ATL: The Hawks are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
- PHI: The 76ers are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Hawks can cover
Young is experiencing a full-fledged breakout in the postseason, and he leads a potent Atlanta offense. Young averaged 25.3 points and 9.4 assists per game this season, but the third-year guard fell short of either an All-Star or All-NBA appearance. In the playoffs, Young has erupted, averaging 29.8 points and 10.5 assists per game against the Sixers and New York Knicks. He is the centerpiece of an offense that scored 114.3 points per 100 possessions this season and, when Young himself was on the floor during the regular season, that figure rose to 118.2 points per 100 possessions.
The Hawks finished as a top-five team in both free throw volume (24.2 attempts per game) and accuracy (81.2 percent), and they landed above the league average in 3-point shooting (37.3 percent), turnover rate (13.3 percent) and offensive rebound rate (28.4 percent). Defensively, Atlanta is holding Philadelphia in check during the series, and that was particularly evident in Game 6 despite a loss. The 76ers scored only 1.04 points per possession in that contest, which should give the Hawks optimism for the series finale.
Why the 76ers can cover
Philadelphia ranks No. 2 in the 2021 NBA Playoffs in net rating, out-scoring opponents by 9.2 points per 100 possessions. That comes with excellent marks on both ends, particularly with its elite defense. The 76ers were No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rating during the regular season, and they are holding playoff opponents to fewer than 1.08 points per possessions. Philadelphia kept the Hawks from scoring even a single point per possession in Game 6, and Embiid is a menace near the rim. Embiid is also averaging 27.8 points and 10.5 rebounds per game in the postseason, keying Philadelphia's approach.
The 76ers are scoring 117.1 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs, benefitting from 59.4 percent true shooting and 1.99 assists for every turnover. Philadelphia also has the highest free throw creation rate (0.345) of any team in the postseason. Seth Curry's emergency also should not be overlooked, as the sharpshooting guard is averaging 19.1 points per game while shooting a robust 50 percent from 3-point range.
How to make 76ers vs. Hawks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 218 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Hawks vs. Sixers? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.