The Memphis Grizzlies welcome the Utah Jazz to FedExForum on Saturday evening for Game 3 of a first-round series in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. The Grizzlies won Game 1 on the road by a final score of 112-109. The Jazz responded by scoring 141 points in Game 2, riding the return of Donovan Mitchell from an ankle injury. Utah was one of the league's best teams against the spread this season with a 53-21 ATS mark. Memphis went 41-35 ATS this year.
Tip-off is at 9:30 p.m. ET in Memphis. The latest Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Utah as a 5.5-point road favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 224. Before finalizing any Grizzlies vs. Jazz picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $800 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the first full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen massive returns.
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies spread: Jazz -5.5
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies over-under: 224.5 points
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies money line: Jazz -215, Grizzlies +185
- UTAH: The Jazz are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- MEM: The Grizzlies are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Jazz can cover
Utah sent quite a statement in their Game 2 win over Memphis. The Jazz scored 141 points, which speaks for itself, and they were incredibly efficient, averaging nearly 1.4 points per possession and posting a 68 percent true shooting mark. Part of that uptick was the return of Mitchell, who returned from a long-term absence with 25 points in Game 2. In addition, Mike Conley generated 20 points and 15 assists, and the Jazz found the groove that made them the NBA's best team in the regular season.
Utah was a top-five offensive team (116.5 points per 100 possessions) in the NBA, and the Jazz also deployed a top-three defense (107.5 points allowed per 100 possessions), headlined by Defensive Player of the Year frontrunner Rudy Gobert. On the whole, the Jazz are the more talented, more experienced team, and they shouldn't be thrown off by the road environment in Memphis.
Why the Grizzlies can cover
Memphis accomplished a reasonable goal in securing a split in Salt Lake City, and the Grizzlies are playing quite well overall. After averaging 19.1 points and 7.4 assists per game in the regular season, Ja Morant exploded for 47 points and seven assists in Game 2, almost single handedly keeping the Grizzlies in the mix. From there, Memphis has a legitimate interior option in Jonas Valanciunas, who averaged 17.1 points and 12.5 rebounds per game in the regular season, and they are excellent in taking care of the ball, committing a turnover on only 13.1 percent of possessions.
The Grizzlies round out their offensive profile by ranking No. 4 in the NBA in both offensive rebound rate (28.5 percent) and assists (26.9 per game) during regular season play. Defense has been the bigger challenge in this series, but the Grizzlies did finish the regular season as the league's No. 7 defense, giving up 110.5 points per 100 possessions. They led the league in steals (9.1 per game) with a top-five mark in turnover creation rate (14.6 percent) and a top-10 mark in avoiding fouls (18.9 per game).
How to make Grizzlies vs. Jazz picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 220 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Grizzlies vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.