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It's a winner-take-all matchup when the Washington Wizards and the visiting Indiana Pacers square off for the fourth time this season in the NBA play-in tournament on Thursday. At stake is the eighth and final seed in the Eastern Conference and the Wizards have to like their chances after winning all three matchups against the Pacers, including two in a six-day span earlier this month. The play-in format provided a bit of a reprieve for No. 8 seed Washington, which is still alive despite losing to Boston on Tuesday, while ninth-seeded Indiana advanced with a 144-117 demolition of Charlotte.

Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET from Capital One Arena. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Wizards as 3.5-point favorites, while the over-under for total points scored is 238.5 in the latest Pacers vs. Wizards odds. Before you make any Wizards vs. Pacers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the 2020-21 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pacers vs. Wizards. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Wizards vs. Pacers:

  • Pacers vs. Wizards spread: Wizards -3.5
  • Pacers vs. Wizards over-under: 238.5 points
  • Pacers vs. Wizards money line: Wizards -165, Pacers +145
  • IND: The Pacers are 6-1-1 against the spread in the last eight games
  • WAS: The Wizards are 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 games
Featured Game | Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers

Why the Pacers can cover

Domantas Sabonis was among eight players to score in double figures in Tuesday's win vs. Charlotte, coming one assist shy of registering a triple-double. The 6-foot-11 center feasted on the Wizards this season, nearly averaging a triple-double with 32.3 points, 14.3 rebounds and 9.3 assists. He had 32 points, 19 rebounds and nine assists in the May 3 matchup and followed it up five days later with 30 points, 13 boards and 13 assists.

Indiana is still without high-scoring guard Caris LeVert (health and safety protocols), but Malcolm Brogdon returned to the lineup after a three-week absence and had 16 points and eight assists in Tuesday's win. Brogdon, who averaged 21.2 points during the regular season, is listed as questionable due to a hamstring injury. Doug McDermott has come on strong over the past five games, averaging 19.4 points and knocking down 16 3-pointers.

Why the Wizards can cover

Wizards guard Russell Westbrook broke Oscar Robertson's NBA record for career triple-doubles this season and he used the Pacers as a stepping stone to do it. He was a wrecking ball with three of his 38 triple-doubles this season coming against the Pacers, going for 35 points, 21 assists and 14 rebounds on March 29 and 14 points, 24 assists and 21 rebounds on May 3. He tied Robertson's record on May 8 with 33 points, 15 assists and 19 boards.

Bradley Beal averaged 31.3 points during the regular season and scored 47 points in his last two, but he has struggled with his shot while dealing with a hamstring injury. Rui Hachimura and Davis Bertans averaged 13.8 and 11.5 points, respectively, but they combined for only 12 points vs. Boston on Tuesday. They were much better against Indiana, with Hachimura averaging 20.0 points and Bertans 12.0 points in the two meetings vs. the Pacers earlier this month.

How to make Wizards vs. Pacers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 250 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pacers vs. Wizards? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.