The Washington Wizards aim to right the ship on Monday evening against the Philadelphia 76ers in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Washington trails Philadelphia by a 3-0 margin in the best-of-seven first-round matchup. The Wizards fell by a 29-point margin in Game 3 at home, failing to slow Philadelphia's talented offense. Washington will look to avoid elimination in Game 4, while Philadelphia is seeking a win and a longer break before their second-round matchup. Russell Westbrook is listed as questionable for Washington, though he was able to play through his ankle injury on Saturday.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET in Washington. The latest Sixers vs. Wizards odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Philadelphia as an nine-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 230. Before finalizing any Wizards vs. Sixers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $800 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the first full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen massive returns.
- 76ers vs. Wizards spread: 76ers -9
- 76ers vs. Wizards over-under: 230 points
- 76ers vs. Wizards money line: 76ers -400, Wizards +320
- PHI: The 76ers are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- WASH: The Wizards are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Sixers can cover
Philadelphia has the better roster and that has been evident through three games. The Sixers cruised to a 29-point victory in Washington in Game 3 and, for the series, Philadelphia boasts a 125.2 offensive rating and a 104.6 defensive rating. That is good for the No. 2 net rating in the playoffs, trailing only the Milwaukee Bucks after a sweep of the Miami Heat, and Philadelphia's stars are performing well. Joel Embiid averaged 28.5 points and 10.6 rebounds per game in the regular season, and he put on a show in Game 3, scoring 36 points in only 28 minutes of action.
Washington also has no answer for Tobias Harris, who produced a 20-point, 13-rebound double-double in Game 3 after averaging 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds per game in the regular season. On top of everything else, the Sixers are generating 2.15 assists for every turnover during the series and, considering ball security was their chief offensive weakness in the regular season, Philadelphia seems to be rounding into form.
Why the Wizards can cover
Washington finished the regular season playing some of its best basketball. Though they've struggled in the series, the Wizards do have two star guards in Westbrook and Bradley Beal, with some strengths to focus on in Game 4. Washington led the NBA in free throw attempts (26.2 per game) during the regular season, and they also posted above-average marks in assists (25.5 per game) and field goal percentage (47.5 percent).
The Wizards are also doing a strong job on the offensive glass in the series, grabbing 30.7 percent of their own missed shots. Washington's ball security has also been top-notch with a turnover on only 12.6 percent of possessions, and that formula of generating extra possessions with offensive rebounding and turnover avoidance could prove helpful in a win-or-go-home setting.
How to make Wizards vs. Sixers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 237 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Wizards vs. Sixers? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.