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USATSI

The Milwaukee Bucks and Brooklyn Nets will meet three times during the 2023-24 NBA regular season, and the second scheduled meeting arrives on Wednesday. The Nets host the matchup at Barclays Center, where the Bucks won the first tilt between the teams in early November. Milwaukee is 22-8 overall and 6-6 on the road to begin the campaign, while Brooklyn is 9-7 at home this season. Brooklyn will be without Ben Simmons (back), Nicolas Claxton (ankle), Spencer Dinwiddie (rest), Cameron Johnson (knee) and Lonnie Walker IV (hamstring), with Dorian Finney-Smith (knee) questionable. For the Bucks, Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) is listed as questionable, with Jae Crowder (adductor) ruled out.

For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Bucks as 7-point favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 240.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Nets odds. Before making any Nets vs. Bucks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 103-55 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Bucks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Nets:

  • Bucks vs. Nets spread: Bucks -7
  • Bucks vs. Nets over/under: 240.5 points
  • Bucks vs. Nets money line: Bucks -294, Nets +234
  • MIL: The Bucks are 6-6 against the spread in road games
  • BKN: The Nets are 11-4-1 against the spread in home games
  • Bucks vs. Nets picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee has the league's third-best record (22-8), and the Bucks have out-scored opponents by more than five points per 100 possessions this season. That is impressive in its own right, but the Bucks have been even better lately. Milwaukee is 9-2 in the month of December, out-scoring opponents by 9.6 points per 100 possessions. That includes a run of seven wins in the last eight games, and Milwaukee's offense is exceptionally difficult to contain.

The Bucks are scoring 120.5 points per 100 possessions this season, ranking firmly in the top four of the league. Milwaukee keeps pressure on opponents with top-eight marks in 3-pointers (14.3 per game) and 3-point accuracy (38.0%), and the Bucks are in the top three of the NBA in field goal percentage (49.9%) and 2-point percentage (58.4%). Milwaukee also generates nearly 27 free throw attempts per game, and Brooklyn's defensive scheme is inherently conservative. In fact, the Nets are dead-last in the NBA in creating turnovers (11.6 per game) and producing steals (6.1 per game). See which team to pick here.

Why the Nets can cover

Brooklyn is facing a quick turnaround on the second night of a back-to-back, but Barclays Center is a safe haven for the Nets. Brooklyn has a +5.0 net rating at home this season, allowing fewer than 1.13 points per possessions in those contests. The Nets rank in the top eight of the NBA in opponent field goal percentage and opponent 3-point percentage this season, and opponents generate fewer than 22 free throw attempts per game against Brooklyn. 

The Nets also yield fewer than 47 points in the paint per game, and Milwaukee is in the bottom third of the league in fast break points, averaging only 12.7 per game. On the other end, Brooklyn is near the top of the NBA in 3-point accuracy, converting more than 38% of attempts, and the Nets are in the top eight in turnover avoidance, assists, fast break points, and offensive rebound rate. Milwaukee is allowing 53.0 points in the paint per game this season, and the Bucks also create only 12.6 turnovers per game on defense. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bucks vs. Nets picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 229 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Nets vs. Bucks, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 103-55 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.