The 2021 NBA Finals will shift to Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee for Game 3 on Sunday at 8 p.m. ET and the Suns will look to extend their 2-0 lead in the series after sweeping the first two games. But the Bucks have already overcome one 2-0 deficit in the 2021 NBA Playoffs, besting the Nets from 2-0 down in the Eastern Conference semifinals. Giannis Antetokounmpo was huge in that comeback and he looks healthy coming off his 42-point, 12-rebound performance in Game 2.
However, Devin Booker, Chris Paul and Mikal Bridges were too much for the Bucks to handle and the Suns won despite a lacking performance from Deandre Ayton. Still, the Bucks are 4.5-point favorites heading back to their home building and the over-under is at 221 in the latest Bucks vs. Suns odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Before finalizing any Suns vs. Bucks picks or 2021 NBA Finals predictions, you need to see what SportsLine NBA expert Larry Hartstein has to say.
Hartstein, who is a regular on The Early Edge podcast, sees an X-factor and he has identified the right side to back in his analysis for the NBA Finals 2021. Hartstein is a blistering 60-33 on his last 93 ATS NBA picks involving the Suns, a stretch that has made $100 bettors more than $2,300. Anybody following him has seen huge returns.
- Suns vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -4.5
- Suns vs. Bucks over-under: 221 points
- Suns vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -200, Suns +175
- PHX: The Suns are 6-1 against the spread in the last seven road games
- MIL: The Bucks are 6-3 against the spread in the last nine home games
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix's top-tier players have been spectacular to this point in the series. Booker is averaging 29.0 points and 6.0 assists per game, and the All-Star guard continues to make big shots when needed. Paul scored 32 points in the final three quarters of Game 1, and he is averaging 27.5 points and 8.5 assists per game. From there, Ayton remains a dominant force near the rim in averaging 16.0 points and 15.0 rebounds per game, and do-it-all wing, Bridges exploded for 27 points and seven rebounds in the Game 2 triumph.
That core leads the Suns to a sparkling +7.3 net rating in the postseason with elite metrics on offense and defense. Phoenix's egalitarian offense system leads to elite assist marks, including the fact that the Suns generate an assist on 59.3 percent of their field goals. The Suns also managed to shoot 40 3-pointers in Game 2, including a whopping 17 attempts from the corner that are incredibly high-percentage looks.
Why the Bucks can cover
In an identical 2-0 position against the Nets in the second round of the 2021 NBA Playoffs, the Bucks leaned heavily upon Antetokounmpo and their defense to battle back. Antetokounmpo is coming off an impressive Game 2 where he had four assists and three blocked shots in addition to his 42/12 and has had a 30-point double-double in four of his last five home games.
The Bucks engineered victories in all four of those contests and have only lost once at home this entire postseason. With Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday both coming off poor shooting performances, Antetokounmpo will be anticipating more from this supporting cast in Game 3 and for the Bucks to hold serve at Fiserv Forum.
How to make Bucks vs. Suns picks
Hartstein is leaning under on the total. He's also found a critical x-factor that have him jumping all over one side of the spread. Make sure to check out his expert NBA Finals picks and analysis before locking in any Bucks vs. Suns bets of your own.
So who wins Bucks vs. Suns? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Bucks vs. Suns spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the expert that has crushed his Suns picks, and find out.