The Cleveland Cavaliers have revenge on their minds, and they'll have to wait less than 24 hours for the opportunity when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday night. It is the second leg of a home-and-home series, and Minnesota (5-14) rode its hot shooting to a 109-104 victory Sunday night in Minneapolis. Andre Drummond had a monster game, but the Cavaliers (9-11) couldn't overcome 16 3-pointers by the Timberwolves. The Cavaliers have lost four of their last five games, while the victory was Minnesota's second in its last nine games.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Cleveland is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 218. Before making any Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 69-40 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: Cleveland -5.5
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers over-under: 218
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers money line: Minnesota +185, Cleveland -215
- MINN: G Anthony Edwards, the top pick in November's draft, has scored at least 15 in five straight games.
- CLE: C Andre Drummond has at least 15 rebounds in nine games and has topped 20 three times.
Why the Cavaliers can cover
Cleveland, which is 6-4 against the spread at home this season, is built around defense, and it should expect the Minnesota shooters to cool off. The Mavs don't have a player who can match up with Drummond, who had 25 points and 22 rebounds in Sunday's loss and is the league's leading rebounder. Dallas shot almost seven percent better than its season average from 3-point range Sunday and ranks near the bottom of the league in every offensive category.
The Cavs rank seventh in the league in scoring defense and second in steals. Larry Nance Jr. gets an NBA-high 2.2 steals per contest as Cleveland averages just under 10. Collin Sexton and Darius Garland are typically efficient shooters, both hitting close to 44 percent from beyond the arc. They combined for 33 points Sunday but made just one of four from outside. Cedi Osman made one of two, well below his average of nearly seven 3-point tries per game.
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Minnesota is 12-12-1 against the spread on no rest since 2018, and the team has been hit with COVID-19 and injury issues. But the Timberwolves showed Sunday night they can beat a team that ranks 29th in the league in scoring at just over 104 per game. Minnesota scores more than 106, and Beasley has picked up the scoring load and is averaging more than 20 points with big man Karl-Anthony Towns (health and safety protocols) out and guard D'Angelo Russell (quadriceps) hobbled.
Russell has been day-to-day but played Sunday night and scored 19 points. Beasley and Edwards tied for the team high with 23 apiece as the Mavs went with a smaller lineup with Towns and center Naz Reid out. Reid could be back from a wrist injury, but the smaller lineup worked Sunday night behind efficient shooting. Russell and Beasley each hit five 3-pointers and Edwards hit four as the Mavs shot 40 percent from beyond the arc.
How to make Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with with teams projected to combine for 227 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.