The Boston Celtics travel to Salt Lake City to face the Utah Jazz on Tuesday evening. Boston (12-10) will aim to bounce back after a road loss to the Phoenix Suns in its last contest. Utah is red-hot with a 19-5 record that includes a 9-2 mark at home. Mike Conley (hamstring) is out for the Jazz, with Marcus Smart (calf) out for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown (knee) is listed as questionable for Boston.
Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The latest Celtics vs. Jazz odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Utah as a six-point favorite, up 1.5 points from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 219. Before making any Jazz vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,300 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 8 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 79-46 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Celtics vs. Jazz spread: Jazz -6
- Celtics vs. Jazz over-under: 219 points
- Celtics vs. Jazz money line: Jazz -245; Celtics +205
- BOS: The Celtics are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
- UTAH: The Jazz are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Celtics can cover
Boston is led by Jayson Tatum, with the talented forward averaging 27.0 points and 7.1 rebounds per game this season. Tatum keys an offense that is a top-10 unit in the NBA, scoring 111.9 points per 100 possessions, and the Celtics are very strong in crashing the glass, securing the rebound on 28.9 percent of their own missed shots. Boston should also be able to protect the ball effectively against a Jazz team that is last in the NBA in turnover creation rate, forcing a giveaway on only 11.3 percent of possessions.
Defensively, the Celtics are a top-10 group in overall efficiency, steals, turnover creation and points allowed off turnovers. Utah is also a bottom-10 team in ball security, turning the ball over on 14.8 percent of possessions, and the Jazz are below-average in free throw creation rate this season.
Why the Jazz can cover
Not only does Utah sport the best record in the NBA at 19-5, the Jazz are a blistering 15-1 in their last 16 games. On top of that, the Jazz have a top-five net rating, and there are areas for Utah to exploit against Boston. The Celtics rank near the bottom of the league in free throw rate allowed to their opponents, and Boston is also below-average on the defensive glass, opening an opportunity for the Jazz.
Utah is second in the NBA in offensive rebound rate (30.0 percent) and, even when the Jazz don't generate second-chance opportunities, they have star power. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 23.5 points and 4.9 assists per game, keying the offense, and Rudy Gobert is perhaps the game's most impactful defender. The former Defensive Player of the Year is averaging 13.3 points, 13.5 rebounds and 2.7 blocks per game, and the Celtics can't match Gobert's size and physicality with their current personnel.
How to make Jazz vs. Celtics picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations projecting 223 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Jazz vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.