The Orlando Magic welcome the Boston Celtics to Amway Center on Wednesday night. Orlando (34-31) aims to avenge a 16-point loss to Boston in the last matchup. The Celtics (34-31) are looking to improve on a shaky 13-18 record in road games this season. Terrence Ross (back), Chuma Okeke (ankle), Michael Carter-Williams (ankle) and Otto Porter Jr. (foot) are out for the Magic. Jaylen Brown (ankle) is out for the Celtics, with Tristan Thompson (pectoral) officially listed as questionable.
Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET in Orlando. The latest Celtics vs. Magic odds list Boston as an 11-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 218.5. Before finalizing any Magic vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 20 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Celtics vs. Magic spread: Celtics -11
- Celtics vs. Magic over-under: 218.5 points
- Celtics vs. Magic money line: Celtics -800, Magic +550
- BOS: The Celtics are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
- ORL: The Magic are 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Celtics can cover
Boston will be without a key piece in Brown, but the Celtics have a No. 1 option in Jayson Tatum that is playing some of the best basketball of his career. Tatum is averaging 29.9 points and 8.4 rebounds per game in his last 20 contests, and that includes both a 53-point game and a 60-point explosion. He is a two-way force and, in short, Boston will have the best player on the floor against Orlando. From there, the weaknesses of the Magic should play into the hands of the Celtics.
Orlando is 29th in the NBA in offensive rating, and Boston is above-average defensively. The Magic are last in the league in both 2-point shooting (47.8 percent) and overall field goal shooting (47.8 percent), with the No. 27 mark in 3-point shooting (34.7 percent). Orlando is also just 28th in the NBA in assists, generating 22.0 per game, and Boston should be able to take advantage with a swarming defensive attack.
Why the Magic can cover
Orlando does an excellent job taking care of the ball. The Magic commit only 12.8 turnovers per game, a top-five mark in the NBA, and Steve Clifford's system has been profitable in getting the most of the talent available. In this matchup, Orlando is facing a Boston team that has some defensive weaknesses. The Celtics allow opponents to shoot 37.4 percent from 3-point range, and Boston is a bottom-five team in preventing free throw attempts. Opponents generate 23.4 free throw attempts per game, and that could help Orlando to balance the scales.
Defensively, the Magic lead the entire NBA in foul avoidance, committing only 17.0 fouls per game, and they are No. 2 in free throw attempts allowed at only 18.9 per game. Orlando protects the rim well, allowing only 46.6 points per game in the paint, and the Magic are excellent on the defensive glass. They grab 74.5 percent of available rebounds, landing in the top eight of the NBA, and they are a top-five team in preventing second-chance points, giving up only 11.5 points per game after misses.
How to make Magic vs. Celtics picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 209 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Magic vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.