The Detroit Pistons host the Boston Celtics in a rematch on Sunday afternoon. Detroit improved to 1-4 on the season with a home win over the Celtics on Friday evening. Boston's loss to the Pistons dropped the team to 3-3 so far in 2020-21. Kemba Walker (knee), Romeo Langford (wrist) and Javonte Green (protocols) are out of action for Boston.
Tip-off is at 3 p.m. ET in Detroit. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Celtics as nine-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 213.5 in the latest Celtics vs. Pistons odds. Before you make any Pistons vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 62-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,200 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Celtics vs. Pistons spread: Celtics -7.5
- Celtics vs. Pistons over-under: 213.5 points
- Celtics vs. Pistons money line: Boston -400, Detroit +320
- BOS: The Celtics are 3-3 against the spread this season
- DET: The Pistons are 2-1 against the spread in conference games
Why the Celtics can cover
The Celtics are missing the impact of Walker, but Boston can rely on a pair of highly productive forwards to spur the offense. Jaylen Brown leads the team in scoring this season, averaging 27.5 points and 5.2 rebounds per game, and the former No. 3 overall pick is also shooting 56.9 percent from the floor. Jayson Tatum is a budding star, averaging 24.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game, and both Brown and Tatum are also tremendous defensive players.
Boston is also facing an inferior team on paper, and Detroit's offense has been shaky this season. The Pistons are third-worst in the NBA in effective field goal percentage (49.2 percent) and, on the other side of the floor, Detroit is dead-last in the NBA in free throw rate allowed. That should give Boston the ability to attack the rim and create shots from the charity stripe.
Why the Pistons can cover
The Pistons have struggled at times, including a bout with early-season injuries, but Detroit is receiving high-end contributions from a pair of newcomers. Jerami Grant leads the team in scoring, averaging 23.0 points per game, and he adds 5.6 rebounds per contest. Mason Plumlee leads the team in rebounding, producing 11.2 rebounds per game, and he is an efficient ball mover offensively. As a team, the Pistons are above-average on the offensive glass, rebounding 27.8 percent of their own misses, and Boston is a below-average defensive rebounding team.
The Pistons are also strong in the area of ball security, committing a turnover on only 14.3 percent of possessions. Defensively, Detroit is also strong on the boards, grabbing 77.8 percent of missed shots by its opponents. Detroit should also be able to generate free throw attempts against a Celtics team that ranks near the bottom of the league in free throw rate allowed.
How to make Celtics vs. Pistons picks
SportsLine's model is projecting Tatum to pace the Celtics with 25 points, while Derrick Rose adds 14 points and four assists for the Pistons. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pistons vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Pistons spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.