David Butler II / USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Pistons welcome the Boston Celtics to Little Caesars Arena on Monday evening. The two Eastern Conference foes will square off for the third time this season, with Boston winning the first two matchups. The Celtics are 37-16 overall and 17-9 on the road, while the Pistons bring a 14-40 overall record into this contest. Cade Cunningham (tibia) and Marvin Bagley III (hand) are out for Detroit, with Isaiah Stewart (hip) listed as questionable. Marcus Smart (ankle) is out for Boston, with Jaylen Brown (illness) listed as questionable.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston as a 10.5-point road favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 230 in the latest Celtics vs. Pistons odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Pistons vs. Celtics match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Pistons and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pistons vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Pistons spread: Celtics -10.5
  • Celtics vs. Pistons over/under: 230 points
  • Celtics vs. Pistons money line: Celtics -550, Pistons +400
  • BOS: The Celtics are 13-13 against the spread in road games
  • DET: The Pistons are 10-15-1 against the spread in home games
  • Celtics vs. Pistons picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is the best team in the NBA by the numbers, out-scoring opponents by more than six points per 100 possessions. That includes top-five marks in both offensive and defensive efficiency, and Boston's offense projects incredibly well in this matchup. Detroit ranks second-worst in the league in defensive efficiency, giving up more than 1.18 points per possession, and opponents are shooting 49.4% from the field and 57.7% on 2-point attempts against the Pistons.

Boston is No. 2 in the NBA in 3-pointers per game (15.5 per game), with top-10 marks in 3-point accuracy (37.0%) and 2-point accuracy (56.6%). The Celtics are also atop the league with a blistering 82.9% mark at the free throw line, and Boston is in the top quartile of the NBA in assists (26.2 per game) and turnover avoidance, committing only 13.5 giveaways per game.

Why the Pistons can cover

The Pistons are keyed by a sharpshooter in Bojan Bogdanovic. The veteran forward is averaging 21.4 points per game this season, and Bogdanovic is shooting 41.9% from 3-point range on the way to a stellar 61.9% true shooting mark. Detroit boosts its offense with the league's best free throw creation, averaging 27.1 attempts per game. The Pistons are also in the top 10 of the NBA in second-chance points (15.1 per game) and offensive rebound rate (29.0%), with Detroit bringing a great deal of physicality and athleticism to the table. 

Boston struggles to create havoc on defense, ranking in the bottom three of the NBA in turnover creation (12.7 per game) and steals (6.4 per game). Detroit is above-average in steals (7.3 per game) on defense, and the Pistons have the benefit of home-court advantage in this tilt.

How to make Pistons vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 236 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.