The Los Angeles Clippers will travel to Wisconsin to face the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday afternoon. The game will be televised nationally in a standalone window, with both teams operating at a high level. Milwaukee is on a four-game winning streak, improving to 20-13 on the season with a top-flight point differential. Los Angeles, meanwhile, is 24-11 despite three losses in the last six games.
Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Bucks as one-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 233.5 in the latest Clippers vs. Bucks odds. Before you make any Bucks vs. Clippers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model also is up almost $8,700 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 10 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-49 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Clippers vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -1
- Clippers vs. Bucks over-under: 233.5 points
- Clippers vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -110, Clippers -110
- LAC: The Clippers are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- MIL: The Bucks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Clippers can cover
Los Angeles is led by a dynamic duo, with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George each averaging more than 23 points per game on elite efficiency. That pairing leads the Clippers to the NBA's third-best offense, scoring 117.1 points per 100 possessions this season. Los Angeles ranks second in the league in true shooting percentage (60.6 percent) and in the top 10 in ball security, turning the ball over on only 13.6 percent of possessions. Milwaukee also struggles to force turnovers defensively, which should play into the hands of the Clippers.
On the other end, the Clippers are No. 7 in the league in free throw creation rate offensively, and the Bucks are a bottom-tier team at preventing their opponents from getting to the line. Los Angeles is also an elite defensive rebounding team, pulling down 75.4 percent of missed shots by its opponents.
Why the Bucks can cover
Milwaukee's offense is impressive, headlined by Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton. Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.9 points, 11.7 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game, following up strongly on his back-to-back NBA MVP awards. Middleton adds 20.6 points, 6.1 rebounds, 5.7 assists and elite-level shooting. As a team, the Bucks are scoring 1.18 points per possession, No. 2 in the league, and the Clippers are a below-average team in defensive rating this season.
Milwaukee is also very strong in taking care of the ball and generating offensive rebounds, both of which help to boost efficiency. The Bucks are a top-five team in myriad defensive categories, including defensive rebound rate, free throw rate allowed, transition scoring allowed and points allowed in the paint. With their defensive rebounding as such a strength, the Bucks also rank near the top of the league in second-chance points allowed, limiting opponents to only 12.1 per game.
How to make Bucks vs. Clippers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting both teams to combine for 228 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Clippers vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on an 85-49 roll on NBA picks.