The Indiana Pacers look to solve their home woes when they host the Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday evening. The Pacers are 25-27 this season but just 9-15 at home, and the Clippers are 15-10 away from Los Angeles. Both teams enter on winning streaks, with Indiana winning three in a row and L.A. winning its last five contests. The Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard (foot), Serge Ibaka (back) and Patrick Beverley (hand) in this matchup, with Myles Turner (ankle) and T.J. Warren (foot) out of action for Indiana.
Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET in Indianapolis. The latest Clippers vs. Pacers odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Los Angeles as a three-point favorite. The over-under for total points expected is set at 232. Before making any Pacers vs. Clippers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,100 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 17 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 95-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Clippers vs. Pacers spread: Clippers -3
- Clippers vs. Pacers over-under: 232 points
- Clippers vs. Pacers money line: Clippers -160; Pacers +140
- LAC: The Clippers are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
- IND: The Pacers are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Clippers can cover
Even without Leonard, the Clippers can rely on a top-flight wing to key their attack on both ends of the floor. Paul George is averaging 23.0 points, 6.2 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game, with remarkable efficiency and tremendous defensive capability. As a team, the Clippers lead the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring 117.7 points per 100 possessions, and they are extremely difficult for any opposing defense to stop.
From there, the Clippers project to win the free throw battle against a Pacers team that is poor in both getting to the line on offense and preventing opponents from generating free throw attempts on defense. Indiana is also a below-average rebounding team, including the NBA's worst mark in protecting the defensive glass, allowing opponents to grab almost 30 percent of their own misses this season.
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana is a solid team on both ends of the floor. Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis key the offense, with each averaging more than 19 points and five assists per game for the season. The Pacers are above-average in field goal percentage (47.3 percent), 2-point percentage (54.0 percent) and free throw percentage (78.7 percent). Indiana is also a stellar passing team, ranking No. 4 in the NBA in assists (27.0 per game) and No. 5 in the league in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.94).
Defensively, Indiana is allowing only 1.11 points per possession this season, and the Pacers force a turnover on 14.9 percent of defensive possessions. The Pacers are a top-five team in steals (8.6 per game) and they lead the entire NBA in blocks, rejecting 6.4 shots per game. Indiana rounds out their defensive effectiveness with an above-average mark in shooting efficiency allowed.
How to make Pacers vs. Clippers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 222 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pacers vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 95-59 roll on NBA picks.