Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds: NBA picks from expert who's 9-2

The Golden State Warriors look to get back on track when they face the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday night at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). The Warriors are six-point road favorites, up from an open of 4.5. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 224.5, up from an open of 222.

Before picking either side, you need to read what pro handicapper Zack Cimini has to say. One of the fastest-rising Vegas handicappers, Cimini is in the midst of a 9-2 NBA run.

Part of the reason for his success: he's in the black in every major sport. He analyzes matchups from every angle and earned his nickname, "Contrarian with Chutzpah," by not always backing what the masses are.

Now, Cimini has released a confident pick for Friday's Warriors-Bucks matchup.

Golden State (33-9) had won six straight before sitting Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson on Wednesday in a blowout loss to the Clippers 125-106.

Kevin Durant poured in 40 points that night and now averages 26.3 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists. Durant and Curry (27.9 ppg) combine to form the NBA's most-potent 1-2 punch. Curry is questionable for Friday night.

Giannis Antetokounmpo averages more than both of them. The star for the Bucks (22-18) is at 28.7 ppg -- second only to James Harden's 32.3 average -- along with 10 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game, team-highs in all.

Golden State leads the NBA by a wide margin with 21.4 fast-break points per game. But Milwaukee has the league's top fast-break defense, allowing only 7.9 ppg. The Bucks are also a solid 12-5 against the West.

Cimini is leaning Under, but he knows there's a critical stat you're not even thinking of that determines which side of the spread you need to be all over.

So what side of Warriors-Bucks should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the strong point-spread pick for Warriors-Bucks, and see what stat points to the winning side, all from an expert on a 9-2 NBA run.

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