Minnesota will try to maintain its home-court advantage against Memphis when the series shifts to Minneapolis for Game 3 on Thursday. The Timberwolves were able to steal that advantage with a 130-117 win in Memphis to open the series. The Grizzlies bounced back in Game 2, notching a 124-96 win in blowout fashion. It was the franchise's largest margin of victory ever in a playoff game.

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Grizzlies are listed as 1.5-point favorites in the latest Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves odds from Caesars Sportsbook, with the over-under set at 237.5. Before you make any Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies picks and NBA predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-56 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies:

  • Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves spread: Memphis -1.5
  • Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves over-under: 237.5 points 
  • Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves money line: Memphis -130, Timberwolves +110
  • MEM: The Grizzlies led the league in rebounds per game during the regular season (49.2) 
  • MIN: The Timberwolves led the NBA in 3-pointers made during the regular season (1,211)
Featured Game | Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis has been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. Between the beginning of December and the end of the regular season, the Grizzlies gave up 107.3 points per 100 possessions, which ranked second in the league, behind only the Celtics (106.7). Memphis held opponents to 44.9 percent shooting from the field over that span, which was the fourth best in the league.

In addition, Grizzlies coach Taylor Jenkins' defensive adjustments on Karl-Anthony Towns has worked. After Steven Adams struggled to defend Towns in Game 1 (29 points on 11-of-18 shooting), Jenkins played Adams just three minutes in Game 2 and deployed Jaren Jackson Jr., Brandon Clarke and Xavier Tillman on Towns. The adjustments helped limit Towns to just 15 points on 4-of-7 shooting.

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Minnesota was able to execute its game plan to open the series, but it struggled to do so in Game 2. Towns was held to 15 points, while D'Angelo Russell finished with just 11. The Timberwolves are almost certainly going to receive more production from their stars on Thursday night, which bodes well in front of a raucous home crowd.

They have been outstanding at home this year, winning 15 of their last 20 games. Meanwhile, Memphis star Ja Morant is dealing with a sore thigh after getting hit by Towns on a screen. This is a quick turnaround after Tuesday night's game in Tennessee, providing Minnesota with an additional advantage.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under the total, predicting a combined 227 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.