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Positioning in the Western Conference play-in tournament is on the line when the Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday afternoon. In a matchup that pits the two hottest teams in the league, the Warriors (38-33) and Grizzlies (38-33) enter the rubber match of their season series riding five-game winning streaks. The winner will be rewarded the No. 8 seed and is guaranteed at least two more games to earn one victory, starting with a road matchup at the No. 7 seed, while the loser will be forced to beat 10th-seeded San Antonio and the loser of the No. 7-8 game to reach the playoffs.

Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET from the Chase Center in San Francisco. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Warriors as 3.5-point favorites, while the over-under for total points scored is 228 in the latest Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds. Before you make any Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,100 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 21 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 99-64 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Warriors vs. Grizzlies:

  • Grizzlies vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -3.5
  • Grizzlies vs. Warriors over-under: 228 points
  • Grizzlies vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -165; Grizzlies +145
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 road games
  • GS: The Warriors are 5-7 against the spread as a home favorite
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Center Jonas Valanciunas registered his seventh double-double in eight games with 24 points and 13 rebounds in Thursday's win over Sacramento. He has been on a roll, averaging 20.3 points and 15.3 rebounds while shooting a scorching 71.4 percent over the past four games. Valanciunas gives Memphis an edge on the glass, registering a pair of double-doubles in a split with the Warriors in March and pulling down 31 rebounds in the two games.

The Grizzlies will need production from their backcourt to keep pace with Curry and the Warriors. Dillon Brooks, coming off a 30-point effort in Thursday's win, is averaging 25.0 points over his last three games and scored 19 in the last matchup vs. Golden State. Leading scorer Ja Morant, who netted 14 points in each of the previous two contests against the Warriors, is averaging 16.0 points and 9.3 points over the past three games.

Why the Warriors can cover

Stephen Curry missed both games vs. Memphis in March due to a bruised tailbone but has been on a scoring tear since sitting out nearly two weeks. The two-time MVP set an NBA record for a month with 96 3-pointers in April, while averaging a staggering 37.6 points. The NBA leader with 5.3 made 3-pointers per game, he was held to 21 points in Tuesday's win over Phoenix after opening the month of May by averaging 37.8 points in the first six games.

Forward Andrew Wiggins made up for a rare off night by Curry by pouring in 38 points against the Suns before missing his first game of the season in Friday's win over New Orleans. He scored 60 points in the previous two matchups vs. Memphis, including a 40-point outburst. Guard Jordan Poole established a career high with 38 points on Friday and also had two big games vs. the Grizzlies while starting in Curry's place, scoring 26 and 25 points.

How to make Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 233 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.