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The Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks are set to square off in a Southeast Division matchup at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday at AmericanAirlines Arena. Miami is 16-17 overall and 9-7 at home, while Atlanta is 14-19 overall and 6-10 on the road. Atlanta enters Sunday's showdown averaging 113.5 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, is scoring 107.7 points per outing. 

Miami is favored by six-points in the latest Heat vs. Hawks odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 220. Before entering any Hawks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up almost $8,700 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 10 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-49 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Hawks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Hawks:

  • Heat vs. Hawks spread: Heat -6
  • Heat vs. Hawks over-under: 220 points
  • Heat vs. Hawks money line: Heat -245, Hawks +205

What you need to know about the Heat

The Heat were able to grind out a solid win over the Utah Jazz this past Friday, winning 124-116. Miami's small forward Jimmy Butler did his thing and almost posted a triple-double with 33 points, 10 rebounds, and eight assists. For the season, Butler is averaging 20.1 points, 7.8 rebounds and 7.8 assists per game. 

Miami enters Sunday's matchup having won five straight games. The Heat are 5-0 against the spread during that span and they've won six of their last seven home games against the Hawks. 

What you need to know about the Hawks

Meanwhile, Atlanta came up short against the Oklahoma City Thunder this past Friday, falling 118-109. Center Clint Capela put forth a good effort for the losing side as he dropped a double-double with 21 boards and 17 points along with four blocks. Capela leads the NBA in rebounding, averaging 14.1 boards per game. 

Guard Trae Young has been the catalyst for Atlanta's offense this season, averaging 26.8 points, 9.5 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game. Young has scored 31 or more points in four of his last six outings. 

How to make Heat vs. Hawks picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Hawks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Hawks vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Hawks spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that is on an incredible 85-49 roll.