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USATSI

An Eastern Conference showdown in the 2023 NBA playoffs has the Miami Heat going on the road to play the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday evening. The Heat have an opportunity to end the series tonight with a win, as on Monday, Miami beat the Bucks 119-114 and went up 3-1. The Heat are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games playing on one day of rest. Meanwhile, the Over is 5-0 in the Bucks' last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Victor Oladipo (knee) and Tyler Herro (hand) are out for Miami.

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 12.5-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. Bucks odds, while the over/under for total points is 220.5. Before making any Bucks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the third week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Bucks and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Bucks spread: Milwaukee -12.5
  • Heat vs. Bucks over/under: 220.5 points 
  • Heat vs. Bucks money line: Milwaukee -700, Miami +500
  • MIA: The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall
  • MIL: The Bucks are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 Wednesday games
  • Heat vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Heat can cover

Center Bam Adebayo is one of the smartest and most instinctive big men in the league. Adebayo uses his quick feet to gain a step against opposing bigs on the glass and as a scorer. The Kentucky product has the skill set to put the ball on the floor and finish in the lane. Adebayo is averaging 16.8 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 1.5 steals per game in this series. In Game 4, he logged 15 points and eight boards.

Guard Duncan Robinson is having a good impact off the bench. Robinson is a very solid spot-up shooter and is a great asset on the perimeter. The Michigan product dropped double-digit points and made at least four 3-pointers in two games this series. In Game 3, Robinson notched 20 points and went 5-of-6 from downtown. See which side to back at SportsLine.

Why the Bucks can cover

Guard Jrue Holiday is a solid two-way playmaker who is an agile and versatile defender for the Bucks. The two-time All-Star also makes great reads as a passer, leading the team in assists (8.5) this series with 18.3 points and six rebounds per game. In Game 2, he dropped 24 points and 11 assists.

Center Brook Lopez is a lengthy shot-blocker who owns a reliable jumper to space the floor. Lopez is leading the team in blocks (2) with 19.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game this postseason. In his last matchup, Lopez had 36 points, 11 rebounds, and three blocks, while his frontcourt mate, Bobby Portis, is another effective player. Portis gets buckets in a flash off the bench due to his smooth jumper and strength at the rim. He's putting up 12 points and 9.2 rebounds per contest in the playoffs. See which side to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bucks vs. Heat picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can see the model's picks at SportsLine

So who wins Heat vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is 71-38 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.