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A Southeast Division battle is on tap between the Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat at 7:30 p.m. ET Tuesday at AmericanAirlines Arena. Miami is 17-17 overall and 10-7 at home, while Atlanta is 14-20 overall and 6-11 on the road. The Heat have won four of the past five matchups between the teams. 

Miami is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Hawks odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 221.5.  Before entering any Hawks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up nearly $8,500 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 11 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-52 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Hawks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Hawks vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Hawks spread: Heat -3.5
  • Heat vs. Hawks over-under: 221.5 points

What you need to know about the Heat

In the first of two consecutive games between Miami and Atlanta, the Heat eased past the Hawks on Sunday, 109-99. Miami has won six consecutive games. Kendrick Nunn scored 24 points and Bam Adebayo had 16 points and 13 rebounds. The Heat used a 10-0 fourth quarter run that started with 3:00 left to pull away for the win.

In the last five games, Miami has allowed only 20.2 points in the fourth quarter. Adebayo has six consecutive double-doubles, tying the longest streak of his career. Jimmy Butler (knee) did not play on Sunday and is questionable for Tuesday's game. The Heat can go over .500 for the first time this season with a win on Tuesday.

What you need to know about the Hawks

John Collins had 34 points and 10 rebounds on Sunday. Atlanta missed 27 of 35 3-point attempts. Trae Young had 15 points, nine assists and eight rebounds, but missed 11 of 14 shots from the field and did not score until there was 2:53 left in the first half. The Hawks are 0-5 in games in which Young has not scored in the first quarter.

The Hawks lost for the third time in four games on Sunday. Lloyd Pierce was fired as head coach on Monday. Assistant coach Nate McMillan will take over as the team's interim coach, Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) is questionable for Tuesday's game. Cam Reddish (Achilles) is out. 

How to make Hawks vs. Heat picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Hawks 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Hawks spread to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that is on an incredible 85-52 roll.