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The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Miami Heat at 9 p.m. ET Monday at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Oklahoma City is 12-18 overall and 4-9 at home, while Miami is 13-17 overall and 6-10 on the road. The Heat won the first meeting of the season on Jan. 4, 118-90. 

Miami is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Thunder vs. Heat odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 212. Before entering any Heat vs. Thunder picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,400 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 9 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 83-48 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Thunder vs. Heat. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Thunder:

  • Thunder vs. Heat spread: Thunder +6.5
  • Thunder vs. Heat over-under: 212 points

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder didn't have too much trouble with the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road on Sunday in a 117-101 win. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 31 points and nine assists. OKC snapped a three-game losing streak and a five-game road losing skid. Hamidou Diallo scored 15 points off the bench, 

Al Horford had 16 points and eight rebounds on Sunday. He may be rested on Monday. The Thunder are fifth worst in the league in points per game, with only 107.2 scored on average.

What you need to know about the Heat

Miami outlasted the Los Angeles Lakers for a 96-94 victory on Saturday. Kendrick Nunn shot 5-for-6 from downtown and finished with 27 points and five rebounds. He is averaging 17.7 points per game in February. The Heat have won two consecutive games and six of their past nine. 

The Heat are coming into Monday's game with the fourth fewest points per game in the league, scoring only 106.8 on average. Jimmy Butler has grabbed at least eight rebounds in 11 straight games, becoming the first Miami non-center to accomplish the feat since 2008. 

He has four triple-doubles this season, tying for the most in a single season in franchise history. Tyler Herro (hip) is questionable for Monday's game. 

How to make Heat vs. Thunder picks

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Thunder vs. Heat? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs. Heat spread to jump on Monday, all from the model that is on an incredible 83-48 roll.