The Phoenix Suns host the Utah Jazz in a nationally televised matchup on Wednesday night. Phoenix is red-hot, improving to 35-14 this season and winning its last five home games. Utah has the NBA's best record at 38-12 and the Jazz have won nine of the last 10 games overall. The Suns won the first matchup between the two teams on Dec. 31, 106-95.
Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET in Phoenix. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Jazz as two-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 227 in the latest Jazz vs. Suns odds. Before you make any Suns vs. Jazz picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned almost $8,900 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 16 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 93-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Jazz vs. Suns spread: Jazz -2
- Jazz vs. Suns over-under: 227 points
- Jazz vs. Suns money line: Utah -130, Phoenix +110
- UTAH: The Jazz are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
- PHX: The Suns are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Jazz can cover
The Jazz are the NBA's best team this season, and they are elite both offensively and defensively. Rudy Gobert captains the NBA's No. 3 defense, limiting opponents to fewer than 1.08 points per possession. Utah leads the league in shooting efficiency allowed, including a No. 1 mark in two-point shooting allowed (49.9 percent), and the Jazz also limit opponents to just 10.6 3-pointers per game. The Jazz make an impact on the margins, holding opponents to 22.3 assists per game and maintaining a top-two mark in the league in free throw prevention. Gobert's presence is also felt in leading the Jazz to top-five rankings in defensive rebound rate and block rate.
Offensively, the Jazz are No. 2 in the NBA in overall efficiency, scoring 117.1 points per 100 possessions, with top-five metrics in shooting efficiency and offensive rebound rate. Quin Snyder's team leads the NBA in 3-point volume (43.0 attempts per game), and they convert 39.5 percent of their shots from beyond the arc.
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix has been the best team in the NBA since late January. The Suns are 27-6 in the last 33 games, outscoring opponents by nearly 10 points per 100 possessions. That success can be traced to overall balance, but the Suns are also keyed by a pair of stars. Devin Booker is averaging 25.9 points per game while generating a 60.2 percent true shooting mark, and is an evolving playmaker, producing 4.6 assists per game. Chris Paul gives the Suns another dimension with 16.0 points and 8.8 assists per game, and he is operating at an elite level.
Beyond the backcourt stardom, the Suns have a tremendous bench, keyed by Dario Saric and others. Phoenix also has a big-time center in Deandre Ayton, averaging a double-double this season, to pit against Gobert. All told, the Suns are excellent on both ends of the floor, and that is especially true at home. Phoenix is 18-8 in its home building this season, and that includes a net rating of +9.0 that ranks second-best in the NBA.
How to make Suns vs. Jazz picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 226 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Jazz vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 93-59 roll on NBA picks.