The New York Knicks will look to win the season series over the Miami Heat when they meet in an Eastern Conference matchup on Wednesday in New York. The Knicks (43-33), who are 2-1 against Miami this season, are 28-19 against Eastern Conference opponents this season. The Heat (40-36), who are 6-4 in their last 10 games, are 15-22 on the road in 2022-2023. Kyle Lowry (knee) is questionable for Miami, while both Jalen Brunson (hand) and Derrick Rose (illness) are questionable for the Knicks.

New York is 21-17 in home games this year, and the tip off from Madison Square Garden is at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Knicks are averaging 115.6 points per game this season, tied for 12th-best in the league, while the Heat average 109.1, 30th-best. The Knicks are 4-point favorites in the latest Heat vs. Knicks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 224. Before making any Knicks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 24 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 70-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Knicks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NBA lines and trends for Knicks vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Knicks spread: Knicks -4
  • Heat vs. Knicks over/under: 224 points
  • Heat vs. Knicks money line: Heat +152, Knicks -180
  • MIA: The Under is 4-1 in the Heat's last five games playing on zero days rest
  • NY: The Knicks are 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 home games
  • Heat vs. Knicks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat

Why the Knicks can cover 

Small forward RJ Barrett played well last week against the Heat, scoring 26 points, grabbing six rebounds and dishing out five assists in the loss at Miami. He is coming off a 19-point, five-assist and three-rebound performance against Houston on Monday. In 69 games, all starts, Barrett averages 19.7 points, five rebounds and 2.8 assists. In three previous meetings against the Heat this season, Barrett is averaging 24.3 points and 5.3 rebounds.

Shooting guard Quentin Grimes has also had a good amount of success against Miami this season. In three games, he is averaging 14 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He is also coming off a near double-double against Houston when he scored 14 points, grabbed nine rebounds and dished out six assists. He scored 25 points at Orlando last Thursday, and for the season, Grimes is averaging 10.2 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists.

Why the Heat can cover

Despite that, New York isn't a lock to cover the Heat vs. Knicks spread. That's because center Bam Adebayo has been playing well of late. He registered a double-double in the March 19 win at Detroit, scoring 22 points and grabbing 10 rebounds for his 30th double-double of the season. He has scored in double figures in all 70 games he has played in this year, including a career-long 86 consecutive overall. In 2022-2023, he is averaging 20.9 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists.

Also helping propel the Heat is point guard Tyler Herro. Herro has scored 20 or more points in three of his last five games, including a 22-point effort last Wednesday against the Knicks. He scored 33 points and dished out six assists in Tuesday's loss. He is a perfect 40 of 40 from the free-throw line in the fourth quarter this season. For the year, he is averaging 20.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists in 62 games played, all starts.

How to make Heat vs. Knicks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 225 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Knicks vs. Heat spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.