The Brooklyn Nets have one of the best home records in the NBA this season, and Steve Nash's team will look to build on that success on Monday. The Nets welcome the cross-town rival New York Knicks to Barclays Center for a highly anticipated matchup. Brooklyn is 20-6 at home this season, with seven straight home wins. New York is 25-25 overall and 11-15 on the road. Kevin Durant (hamstring) will mis Monday's matchup for Brooklyn, with Mitchell Robinson (foot) ruled out for New York.
Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET in Brooklyn. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Nets as six-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 217.5 in the latest Knicks vs. Nets odds. Before you make any Nets vs. Knicks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned more than $8,800 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up more than $800 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 15 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 93-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Knicks vs. Nets spread: Nets -6
- Knicks vs. Nets over-under: 217.5 points
- Knicks vs. Nets money line: New York +205, Brooklyn -245
- NYK: The Knicks are 15-11 against the spread in 2020-21 road games
- BKN: The Nets are 12-14 against the spread in 2020-21 home games
Why the Knicks can cover
The Knicks are unquestionably led by their defense, but New York has a pairing of standout offensive options in Julius Randle and R.J. Barrett. Randle is enjoying the best season of his career, shooting 41.6 percent from 3-point distance and averaging 22.9 points, 10.7 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game. Barrett adds 17.2 points and 5.9 rebounds per game, and the Knicks are one of the better offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, grabbing nearly 28 percent of their own missed shots.
From there, the Nets deploy a shaky defense, ranking in the bottom 10 of the NBA this season, and Brooklyn struggles mightily to produce turnovers defensively. The Nets are a bottom-three team in creating havoc, forcing a turnover on fewer than 13 percent of possessions. On the other side, the Knicks lead the NBA in points allowed (103.9 per game), field goal percentage allowed (44.1 percent) and 3-point percentage allowed (33.5 percent), with Tom Thibodeau constructing an elite overall unit.
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn is one of the best offensive teams in the league, ranking No. 1 in the NBA in points per possession and in the top five in myriad shooting categories. That provides a strong baseline of overall effectiveness, and the Nets have the firepower to score, even against a stout Knicks defense. On the margins, Brooklyn is also elite at creating free throw attempts, which helps to bridge efficiency gaps.
On the other end, the Nets aren't quite as powerful, but this is a favorable matchup. The Knicks score only 1.085 points per possession, a bottom-10 mark in the NBA, and New York is 25th in effective field goal percentage (51.4 percent) and 29th in two-point shooting (49.0 percent). The Knicks also make it easy on opposing defenses without high-level passing, and New York is 29th in the NBA in assists (21.0 per game).
How to make Nets vs. Knicks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 215 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Knicks vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on a roll on NBA picks.