The New York Knicks visit San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. The Knicks are 24-31 this season and 11-16 in road games. The Warriors (41-14) are 25-4 at home and coming off a back-to-back after losing to the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. New York lists Quentin Grimes (knee), Nerlens Noel (knee), and Mitchell Robinson (calf) as questionable, with RJ Barrett (ankle) and Derrick Rose (ankle) ruled out. Draymond Green (back) and James Wiseman (knee) remain out for Golden State.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a nine-point home favorite for this 10 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 217.5 in the latest Knicks vs. Warriors odds. Before making any Warriors vs. Knicks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 65-36 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Knicks, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Knicks vs. Warriors:
- Knicks vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -9
- Knicks vs. Warriors over-under: 217.5 points
- Knicks vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -475, Knicks +360
- NYK: The Knicks are 12-15 against the spread in road games
- GSW: The Warriors are 5-4 against the spread with no rest
Why the Knicks can cover
New York has the rest advantage in this game, with the Warriors on the second night of a back-to-back. Golden State is also No. 29 in the NBA in ball security, committing well over 15 turnovers per game. New York is holding opponents to 105.9 points per game, No. 8 in the NBA, and the Knicks are in the top eight of the league in field-goal percentage allowed (44.3 percent), 2-point percentage allowed (51.8 percent) and points in the paint allowed (42.3 per game).
On the other end, the Knicks secure 29.0 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass, ranking in the top eight of the NBA. Those offensive rebounds lead to 14.6 second-chance points per game, a top-five mark, and New York makes 13.0 3-pointers per contest. The Knicks are also soundly above-average in free-throw creation (22.2 attempts per game and ball security (13.6 turnovers per game).
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State's defense is elite, and the team's offense also pulls its own weight. The Warriors rank in the top six of the NBA in field- goal percentage, 2-point percentage, 3-point percentage, 3-pointers per game, assists, assist percentage and fast-break points. On the other end, no team in the NBA is better than the Warriors, with Golden State giving up only 1.03 points per possession on defense.
Golden State leads the league in field-goal percentage and 3-point percentage, with opponents also shooting only 50 percent on 2-point attempts against the Warriors. The Warriors are in the league's top tier in assist prevention, allowing only 22 per game, with top-seven marks in defensive rebound rate and turnover creation rate. Golden State generates more than nine steals per game, and the Warriors are blocking nearly five shots per game this season.
How to make Knicks vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 211 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
