The Los Angeles Lakers aim to continue their recent bounce-back on Sunday afternoon. Frank Vogel's team has won three of the last four games, and they will face the Los Angeles Clippers in a nationally televised contest. LeBron James and Anthony Davis remain sidelined for the Lakers. The Clippers are 32-18 this season, but they enter Sunday's showdown on a two-game losing streak.
Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET at the STAPLES Center. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Clippers as 10.5-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 211 in the latest Lakers vs. Clippers odds. Before you make any Clippers vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned more than $8,800 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up more than $800 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 15 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 93-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Lakers vs. Clippers spread: Clippers -10.5
- Lakers vs. Clippers over-under: 211 points
- Lakers vs. Clippers money line: Clippers -600, Lakers +450
- LAL: The Lakers are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
- LAC: The Clippers are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Lakers can cover
The Lakers continue to lead the NBA in defensive rating, giving up only 105.6 points per 100 possessions for the season. That comes with top-five metrics in shooting efficiency allowed and defensive rebounding, with the No. 6 mark in the NBA in second-chance points allowed (11.7 per game). The Lakers are also very good at preventing free throws (seventh in the NBA), and they are a top-five shot-blocking team with 5.5 rejections per game.
On the offensive end, Dennis Schroder and Montrezl Harrell are both averaging more than 18 points per game in the last 10 contests. The Lakers are also a top-eight team in both two-point shooting (54.8 percent) and free throw creation rate. The Clippers struggle to force turnovers, generating a giveaway on only 13.2 percent of defensive possessions. The Lakers could also swing the possession battle in their favor with second-chance opportunities, grabbing 26.7 percent of their own offensive rebounds for the season.
Why the Clippers can cover
The Clippers are keyed by the best two players in this matchup in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Leonard is averaging 25.9 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game, and George adds 22.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. That duo leads the No. 2 offense in the NBA, scoring almost 1.17 points per possession, and the Clippers have been the best shooting team in the league.
The Clippers are above-average defensively, giving up only 110.8 points per 100 possessions, and they also have a favorable matchup against the Lakers. The Lakers are scoring fewer than 1.03 points per possession with James off the court this season, and they are just 3-5 in the standings when James is unavailable. From there, the Lakers turn the ball over on 15.3 percent of offensive possessions, ranking 27th in the NBA in ball security.
How to make Clippers vs. Lakers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 210 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Lakers vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on a roll on NBA picks.