The Houston Rockets welcome the Los Angeles Lakers to Toyota Center for the second of a two-game set. Houston fell to Los Angeles on Sunday evening, with revenge on the mind of the home team in the rematch. The Rockets are 3-5 this season, with three losses in their last four games. The Lakers are a blistering 8-3 after winning six of the last seven contests. LeBron James (ankle) and Anthony Davis (adductor) are listed as questionable for the Lakers, with John Wall (migraine) and Eric Gordon (leg) questionable for the Rockets.
Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as a 4.5-point favorite, down 1.5 points from the opening Lakers vs. Rockets odds. The over-under for total points is set at 222.5. Before locking in any Rockets vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 67-38 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Lakers vs. Rockets spread: Lakers -4.5
- Lakers vs. Rockets over-under: 222.5
- Lakers vs. Rockets money line: Lakers -185; Rockets +165
- LAL: The Lakers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
- HOU: The Rockets are 3-5 against the spread this season
Why the Lakers can cover
The Lakers are led by immense star power, with James and Davis operating as elite players. That pairing, along with a rock-solid supporting cast, keys the Lakers to a top-five offense and a top-five defense on a per-possession basis. As such, the Lakers are impressive in their own right, but they can also profit from Houston's weaknesses. The Rockets are one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA, grabbing only 23.0 percent of offensive rebounds and ranking dead-last in the NBA in defensive rebound rate at 69.9 percent.
Houston is also a bottom-five team in second-chance points allowed (14.5 per game) and transition points allowed (16.1 per game). Though the Rockets have more size this season with Christian Wood in the middle, Houston is giving up 50.5 points per game in the paint, and that is a bad recipe against the big, physical Lakers frontcourt.
Why the Rockets can cover
The Rockets boast three players averaging at least 20 points per game, headlined by James Harden. Harden is one of the NBA's most gifted offensive initiators, and he keys an above-average group overall, scoring nearly 1.11 points per possession. The Rockets are a top-10 team in true shooting percentage (58.8 percent), and they benefit greatly from a top-five rate in free throw generation.
Defensively, Houston is very strong in limiting the shooting efficiency of its opponents, yielding an effective field goal shooting mark of 52.6 percent. The Rockets also lead the NBA in blocked shots per game (7.0), and Houston could benefit from a Lakers team that is turning the ball over at a sky-high rate of 15.3 percent of possessions.
How to make Lakers vs. Rockets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under as the simulations are projecting just 211 total points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Rockets vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Rockets vs. Lakers spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.