The Los Angeles Lakers look to put the defending champion Golden State Warriors on the ropes and take a 3-1 series lead when they meet Monday in Game 4 of their Western Conference semifinal. The Warriors (44-38), who were just 11-30 on the road during the regular season, are 2-3 away from home during the 2023 NBA playoffs. The Lakers (43-39), who were 23-18 on their home court in 2022-2023, are 4-0 there in the postseason. The Lakers won three of four meetings during the regular season, including both in Los Angeles.

Tip off from Crypto.com Arena is set for 10 p.m. ET. Golden State is allowing 114 points per game in the playoffs, while Los Angeles allows 107.1. Los Angeles is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Lakers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 228. Before making any Lakers vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Warriors and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Warriors vs. Lakers:

  • Warriors vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -2.5
  • Warriors vs. Lakers over/under: 228 points
  • Warriors vs. Lakers money line: Warriors +110, Lakers -130
  • GS: The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games following an ATS loss
  • LAL: The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games
  • Warriors vs. Lakers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Lakers can cover

Los Angeles has five players averaging double-digit scoring this postseason. Among them is point guard D'Angelo Russell who is averaging 16.7 points, six assists and 3.2 rebounds per game. He is also connecting on 45.7% of his field goals, including 37.3% from 3-point range. Russell is coming off a 21-point, five-assist and three-rebound performance in Game 3.

Shooting guard Austin Reaves has also been solid during the postseason, reaching double-digit scoring in eight of nine games. In Games 1 and 4 of the Lakers' first-round series with Memphis, he scored 23 points in each. He is averaging 14 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.1 assists in the 2023 NBA playoffs. In four regular-season games against the Warriors, he had averaged 11 points, 3.5 assists and 1.5 rebounds in 22.3 minutes of action. See which team to back here.

Why the Warriors can cover

Small forward Andrew Wiggins just missed a double-double in Game 3, scoring 16 points, while adding nine rebounds, four assists and one block. In 10 postseason games, including nine starts, Wiggins is averaging 16.9 points, six rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.5 blocks. He has had lots of success against the Lakers throughout his career as in 29 games against Los Angeles, he is averaging 20.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.1 steals.

Shooting guard Jordan Poole has played well against the Lakers this season. In four regular-season games vs. Los Angeles, he averaged 16.8 points, 5.3 assists, 2.8 rebounds and 1.3 steals. He scored 21 points and added six assists in the Game 1 loss. Poole has scored in double figures in five games this postseason, including 20 or more in two games. For his career, Poole averages 15.8 points, 3.4 assists and 2.6 rebounds. See which team to back here.

How to make Lakers vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting seven players to score more than 16 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Game 4 of Lakers vs. Warriors in the NBA playoffs 2023? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has has gone 71-38 on its NBA picks, and find out.