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The Dallas Mavericks go for their 11th win in 13 games against Memphis at home on Sunday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Grizzlies have won 13 of their last 15 games and is 15-7 on the road, while Dallas is 26-20 and 6-1 in its last seven home games. Mavs superstar Luka Doncic got the better of the matchup with Ja Morant in the last meeting between the two, when his triple-double of 27 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists lifting Dallas to a 112-85 win.

Dallas is favored by four points in the latest Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 218.5. Before entering any Grizzlies vs. Mavericks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Grizzlies. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies:

  • Mavericks vs. Grizzlies spread: Mavericks -4
  • Mavericks vs. Grizzlies over-under: 218.5 points
Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies

What you need to know about the Mavericks

The Mavericks came up short against the Phoenix Suns this past Thursday, 109-101, despite a 28-point night from Doncic. Dallas hit just 29.7 percent of its 3-point attempts and turned the ball over 19 times in the loss. Doncic also led the team in giveaways, with eight, but fellow starting guard Jalen Brunson also had six. The Mavericks have shot just 29.9 percent from distance, and turned the ball over 16 times per game over their last three contests.

Another thing that has hampered the Mavericks a bit has been the recent production from center Kristaps Porzingis. In four starts since sitting missing two games ahead of Christmas, he averaged 27.3 points, 8.5 rebounds and 4.3 assists. Since he missed seven games (health and safety protocols) at the beginning of January, those averages have dipped to 17 points, 8.3 rebounds and one assist over his last four starts.

What you need to know about the Grizzlies

The Nuggets gave the Grizzlies all they could handle on Friday, but Memphis emerged with the 122-118 win. Point guard Ja Morant led the way with 38 points and six assists along with six boards. He'll be looking for another outing like that on Sunday after a subpar performance in his last start against Dallas, which ended with 19 points, eight assists and eight turnovers. 

Dallas has been one of the league's better defensive sides against opposing front courts, but Jaren Jackson Jr. has been playing on a high level for Memphis lately. In his last 10 starts, he's averaged 18.4 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.5 blocks per game. Memphis leads the league in steals (10.2) and blocks (6.4) per game this season. Jackson is clearly the team's top rim protector, but De'Anthony Melton has been the Grizzlies' most dangerous on-ball defender with 1.6 steals per contest.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Mavericks picks

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Grizzlies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Mavericks vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.