The Orlando Magic look to stop a losing skid when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. The Magic have lost three in a row, erasing some of the progress they gained with a previous three-game winning streak. Orlando is just 13-21 on the year, though it is 8-10 at home. Dallas is just 8-8 on the road this season, but the Mavericks (16-16) are winners of seven of their last nine games overall. Kristaps Porzingis (back) is probable for Dallas, while James Ennis (calf), Cole Anthony (ribs) and Aaron Gordon (ankle) are all out for Orlando.
Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET at the Amway Center in Orlando. The latest Mavericks vs. Magic odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Dallas as a six-point favorite, while the over under is 221. Before making any Magic vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model also is up almost $8,700 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 10 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-49 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Mavericks vs. Magic spread: Mavericks -6
- Mavericks vs. Magic over-under: 221 points
- Mavericks vs. Magic money line: Mavericks -245; Magic +205
- DAL: The Mavericks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
- ORL: The Magic are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas is a talented team and everything starts with Luka Doncic. The third-year perimeter creator is averaging 28.5 points, 9.0 assists and 8.4 rebounds per game, and he will start the NBA All-Star Game on March 7 as a result of his stellar play. Doncic helps to drive efficient offense with his scoring, passing and overall gravity, and the Mavericks are difficult to stop as a result.
Defensively, Dallas has been shaky, but the Mavs are facing an Orlando team that struggles to score. The Magic are dead-last in both effective field goal percentage (49.4 percent) and true shooting percentage (52.9 percent) this season, with the No. 27 mark in free throw creation and the No. 28 overall offense (105.1 points per 100 possessions) in the NBA this season.
Why the Magic can cover
The Magic are led by Nikola Vucevic, with the veteran center averaging 24.4 points and 11.6 rebounds per game on the way to an All-Star bid this season. Aside from the individual brilliance of Vucevic, Orlando's bread and butter offensively is its ability to avoid turnovers, giving the ball away on only 13.3 percent of possessions this season. The Magic should also have a chance to exploit the Mavericks' defense, with Dallas ranking just 25th in the NBA in allowing 113.3 points per 100 possessions in 2020-21.
On the other end, the Magic lead the NBA in defensive rebound rate, pulling down 75.9 percent of missed shots by their opponents, and the Mavericks are a bottom-five offensive rebounding team this season. Orlando is also a top-five group at preventing its opponents from attempting free throws, which helps with overall efficiency.
How to make Magic vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Magic vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on an 85-49 roll on NBA picks.