The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Philadelphia 76ers at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at the American Airlines Center. Dallas is 23-15 overall and 11-10 at home, while Philadelphia is 25-14 overall and 7-12 on the road. The Mavericks are ranked second in the Southwest Division; Philadelphia is ranked third in the Atlantic Division. The 76ers are 17-21-1 against the spread on the season while the Mavericks are 19-18-1.

The Mavericks have also covered in each of their last four head-to-head matchups with the Sixers. Dallas is favored by two points in the latest Mavericks vs. Sixers odds, while the over-under is set at 223.5. Before making any 76ers vs. Mavericks picks or NBA predictions, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and last season it returned a whopping $4,280 on its top-rated NBA spread and money line picks. It's already returned almost $1,800 in profit on all its top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season and entered Week 11 on a blistering 26-13 run on all top-rated NBA spread picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has simulated 76ers vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

The Mavericks are coming off a 129-114 loss to the Lakers where they shot just 40.6 percent from the floor and 28.9 percent from the 3-point line. Luka Doncic finished below his season average (29.4 ppg) with 25 points, but he did have 10 rebounds and two assists. Doncic has gone from Rookie of the Year to MVP candidate in the span of an offseason and with Kristaps Porzingis out (knee/illness), Doncic will have to continue to lift his teammates on Saturday against the 76ers.

Meanwhile, the Sixers will also be without their star big man as Joel Embiid underwent surgery on his left hand. Without Embiid on Thursday, the 76ers got a huge boost with 29 points from shooting guard Josh Richardson. Richardson, Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris and Al Horford all finished with at least 16 points in the win over the Celtics and that quartet will have to do a lot of the heavy lifting offensively with Embiid out. Horford will also have to serve the role of rim protector and primary rebounder on the block with the 76ers now sporting one of the smaller 10-man rotations in the NBA.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Sixers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.