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The Oklahoma City Thunder (14-28) hit the road to take on the Dallas Mavericks (24-19) at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, Jan. 17 at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavericks have a clean injury report and are riding a two-game winning streak after defeating the Orlando Magic 108-92 on Saturday. The Thunder own the third-worst record in the NBA and are coming off a 107-102 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday.

The Mavericks are favored by 11.5 points in the latest Mavericks vs. Thunder odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 208. Before making any Thunder vs. Mavericks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Thunder, and just locked in its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavericks vs. Thunder:

  • Mavericks vs. Thunder spread: Mavericks -11.5
  • Mavericks vs. Thunder over-under: 208 points
  • Mavericks vs. Thunder  moneyline: OKC +475, Dallas -700

What you need to know about the Mavericks

While not quite a landslide, the contest between Dallas and the Orlando Magic this past Saturday was still a pretty decisive one as the Mavericks wrapped it up with a 108-92 victory at home. Dallas can attribute much of their success to point guard Jalen Brunson, who had 19 points along with five rebounds.

The Mavericks have a highly potent 1-2 punch in MVP candidate Luka Doncic (24.7 points, 8.7 assist, 8.5 rebounds per game) and Kristaps Porzingis (20.5 points, 7.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists per game) that will be problematic for OKC. Dallas is 12-8 at home and 23-20 against the spread in 2021-22.

What you need to know about the Thunder

Meanwhile, OKC was within striking distance but couldn't close the gap this past Saturday as they fell 107-102 to the Cleveland Cavaliers. The top scorer for Oklahoma City was shooting guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (21 points).

OKC is stumbling into this matchup scoring the fewest points per game in the league, averaging only 100.8. Their offensive woes could make it difficult for them to keep this game close. The Thunder are 6-14 on the road and 27-14-1 against the spread this season.

How to make Thunder vs. Mavericks picks

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Mavericks vs. Thunder pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Thunder? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavs vs. Thunder spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.