Points have been hard to come by in this Houston Rockets-Golden State Warriors series. The two teams are averaging a combined 193.3 points per game in the first three games of this first-round matchup, with the Under prevailing all three times. The Warriors offense, though, could get a major boost if Jimmy Butler returns for Game 4 Monday at 10 p.m. ET. Butler missed Game 3 after suffering a pelvic contusion in Game 2, and is officially listed as questionable for Game 4.
Golden State opened as a 4-point home favorite against Houston, but the line has dropped slightly since to Golden State -3.5. The Warriors are -175 (bet $175 to win $100) on the money line, according to SportsLine consensus, while the Rockets are +146 (bet $100 to win $146) underdogs.
But what if you want to bet on player props, particularly on how Butler will fare in Game 4? The SportsLine model has you covered. It continuously refreshes the most recent available data and can help you spot the biggest discrepancies in the lines. The SportsLine model, which can be found on every game forecast page on SportsLine under the "Prop Picks" tab, assigns ratings of up to five stars for each projected value play on every NBA slate. Those picks can be integral to building winning parlays on DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy or Sleeper Fantasy and in same-game parlays on any betting site.
Let's check out the SportsLine model's three highest-rated player prop recommendations for Rockets-Warriors and see what the payout would be if they were put into a same-game parlay -- and check out the optimal same-game parlay for every playoff game on Monday's NBA schedule at SportsLine.
Rockets-Warriors SGP (+554)
- Jimmy Butler Under 19.5 points (-114): 4 stars
- Alperen Sengun Under 11.5 rebounds (-138): 4 stars
- Jalen Green Under 4.5 rebounds (+102): 3.5 stars
There are two 4-star recommendations for this contest, and both are Unders. Butler is projected for 17.1 points, as the SportsLine model likes him to continue his recent trend when the Warriors have been favored against a top-10 defense. In the last 11 instances where that's been the situation, Butler has gone Under his points prop nine times and averaged 14.6 points over that stretch. Even though he is listed as questionable for Game 4, Warriors head coach Steve Kerr is positive regarding Butler's chances to play. Sengun hasn't cleared his rebounds prop in four of his past five road games and is estimated for 9.5 boards in Game 4. We'll add a plus-money play as the final leg in this SGP, with Green going Under his rebounds prop four times in his past five contests and his projection coming in at 4.2 boards.
