When they signed superstar Kevin Durant in July 2019, the Brooklyn Nets knew they'd be waiting a while for the former NBA MVP to pay dividends due to his Achilles injury. Less than 20 games into the 2020-21 season, Durant is proving he was worth the wait. The 32-year-old attempts to hit the 30-point plateau for the eighth time in 14 games when the Nets (10-8) host the Miami Heat (6-9) in the finale of their two-game series on Monday. While Brooklyn is hoping to play its third game with the "Big Three" of Durant, James Harden and Kyrie Irving, Miami will be without Jimmy Butler (COVID-19) and Tyler Herro (neck).
Tip-off at Barclays Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Brooklyn as a 7.5-point favorite, while the over-under is 235.5 in the latest Nets vs. Heat odds. Before making any Heat vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 69-40 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Nets vs. Heat spread: Brooklyn -7.5
- Nets vs. Heat over-under: 235.5 points
- Nets vs. Heat money line: Brooklyn -300, Miami +260
- BKN: The Nets are 0-6 against the spread in their last six games against teams with losing records
- MIA: The Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road contests versus teams with winning home records
Why the Nets can cover
Durant led Brooklyn with 31 points in Saturday's 128-124 triumph over Miami, going 11-for-19 from the field -- including 4-for-7 from beyond the arc. The 10-time All-Star is second in the league in scoring (31.2 points) and raised his career points total to 23,346 on Saturday, passing Robert Parish (23,334) for 27th place on the all-time list. Durant, who has recorded at least 26 points in 12 straight contests, is shooting 53.8 percent overall and 47.5 percent from 3-point range.
Irving, who also joined the Nets in July 2019, had a strong night against the Heat on Saturday as well, registering 28 points, seven assists and six rebounds. The 28-year-old point guard was instrumental in the victory, as he recorded 18 of his points in the fourth quarter to help Brooklyn stave off Miami's comeback attempt. Small forward Joe Harris tied his career high with seven 3-pointers for the Nets, who are averaging 122 points at home this season.
Why the Heat can cover
Bam Adebayo did everything he could to help Miami on Saturday, scoring a career-high 41 points on 14-of-20 shooting while finishing one assist shy of a double-double. The 23-year-old center from the University of Kentucky's previous best output this season was 28 points, which he recorded in back-to-back meetings with Detroit just over a week ago. Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring (20.3 points), boards (8.9), assists (5.5) and blocks (0.9).
Goran Dragic recorded 19 points and seven assists in Saturday's loss while Duncan Robinson and Kendrick Nunn scored 18 apiece. The 25-year-old Nunn, who also grabbed five rebounds while coming off the bench, sank four 3-pointers for the second time in three games after hitting a total of four over his first seven contests this season. Kelly Olynyk was limited to five points on Saturday but is averaging 10.9 and 5.4 rebounds over his last 10 games.
How to make Nets vs. Heat picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 240 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Nets spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.