The Brooklyn Nets hit the road to face the Houston Rockets on Wednesday evening. Brooklyn is one of the hottest teams in the NBA with a 9-1 record in the last 10 games. In contrast, Houston is on a 12-game losing skid and looking to stop the bleeding as the Rockets host James Harden for the first time since he was dealt to the Nets. Christian Wood (ankle) is out for the Rockets, with Eric Gordon (knee) and Danuel House (knee) officially listed as questionable. Kevin Durant (hamstring) is out for the Nets, with Jeff Green (shoulder) doubtful to play.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Houston. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Nets as 10-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 228.5 in the latest Nets vs. Rockets odds. Before you make any Rockets vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up nearly $8,500 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 11 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-52 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Nets vs. Rockets spread: Nets -10
- Nets vs. Rockets over-under: 228.5 points
- Nets vs. Rockets money line: Nets -550, Rockets +425
- BKN: The Nets are 9-1 against the spread in the last 10 games
- HOU: The Rockets are 1-9 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn's offense is its calling card, and with good reason. The Nets score 1.18 points per possession, leading the NBA in offensive rating, and Brooklyn is No. 1 in the league in effective field goal percentage (58.5 percent) and true shooting percentage (61.9 percent). The Nets rank third in the NBA in assists (27.1 per game), and James Harden leads the NBA individually with 11.3 assists per game to go along with 25.3 points and 8.7 rebounds. Joe Harris is arguably the NBA's best spot-up shooter, making 50.0 percent of his long-range attempts this season, and Kyrie Irving averages 27.4 points per game in a starring role.
On the flip side, the Nets aren't elite defensively, but they are a top-eight team in blocked shots (5.5 per game) and free throw creation rate allowed, and the Rockets are a bottom-tier team in myriad offensive categories.
Why the Rockets can cover
Houston is in a tailspin, but the Rockets could find solace in Brooklyn's defense. The Nets are 26th in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing almost 1.14 points per possession, and Brooklyn is the second-worst team in the league when it comes to forcing turnovers, creating a giveaway on only 12.3 percent of possessions.
The Rockets also have some firepower offensively, with John Wall (20.4 points, 6.1 assists per game) and Victor Oladipo (19.0 points per game) scheduled to play. Houston is also a top-10 defensive team, giving up fewer than 1.1 points per possession and ranking in the top eight in shooting efficiency allowed. The Rockets are No. 5 in the league in creating havoc, forcing a turnover on 15.4 percent of defensive possessions, and Houston is also adept at blocking shots, rejecting 5.6 attempts per game.
How to make Rockets vs. Nets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting both teams to combine for 225 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Rockets? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on an 85-52 roll on NBA picks.