The Miami Heat will take on the Indiana Pacers at 8 p.m. ET Monday at Visa Athletic Center in Orlando. The teams have both clinched postseason berths and are tied for the fourth playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Indiana has won four of its five games in the NBA bubble. Miami has lost three of its past four.
Indiana is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings with Miami. The Heat are 1-5 in their last six games when playing on one day of rest. Miami is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Pacers odds, and the over-under is set at 221. Before entering any Pacers vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned well over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 58-32 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. Amazingly, it hasn't missed a single top-rated pick (5-0) since the NBA's restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Heat vs. Pacers spread: Heat -3.5
- Heat vs. Pacers over-under: 221 points
- Heat vs. Pacers money line: Miami -165, Indiana 145
What you need to know about the Heat
It was all tied up at 60 at halftime, but the Heat were not quite the Phoenix Suns' equal in the second half when they met this past Saturday. Miami took a 119-112 hit in the loss column. Tyler Herro almost posted a triple-double on 25 points, a career-best 10 assists, and eight rebounds in his seventh start of the season as he stepped forward with Kendrick Nunn (quarantine) out.
The Heat didn't have too much trouble with Indiana in the teams' previous meeting in January, as they won 122-108.
What you need to know about the Pacers
Indiana beat the Los Angeles Lakers 116-111 this past Saturday. T.J. Warren stayed hot and shot 5-for-8 from downtown. He finished with 39 points and five boards. Warren (foot) is listed as questionable for Monday's game.
Warren is the league's leading scorer in seeding games, averaging 34.8 points per game on 60.5 percent shooting from the field and 55.6 percent from 3-point range. At 4-1, the Pacers are tied with the Raptors for the best Eastern Conference record in NBA bubble play.
How to make Heat vs. Pacers picks
The model has simulated Heat vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning over on the total, and it has also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pacers vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Pacers spread you need to jump on Monday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.