The New Orleans Pelicans travel to face the Los Angeles Clippers at the STAPLES Center on Wednesday night. The Pelicans and Clippers will match up in front of a national audience, with plenty of intrigue on both sides. Los Angeles is 7-4 this season, with New Orleans arriving at 4-5 overall and 2-2 on the road. Ivica Zubac (abdominal) is questionable to play for the Clippers. Lonzo Ball (knee) is out for the Pelicans, with JJ Redick (hamstring) listed as probable and Eric Bledsoe (eye) listed as questionable.
Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Clippers as 9.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 216 in the latest Pelicans vs. Clippers odds. Before you make any Clippers vs. Pelicans picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 67-38 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Pelicans vs. Clippers spread: Clippers -9.5
- Pelicans vs. Clippers over-under: 216 points
- Pelicans vs. Clippers money line: Clippers -500, Pelicans +400
- NO: The Pelicans are 3-6 against the spread this season
- LAC: The Clippers are 6-4 against the spread in conference games
Why the Pelicans can cover
New Orleans is one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA, making considerable gains in the process. The Pelicans are grabbing 30.3 percent of their own missed shots, second in the NBA, and New Orleans also gets to the free throw line at a high level, ranking No. 2 in free throw creation rate.
Defensively, Stan Van Gundy's team is securing 78.1 percent of rebounds, No. 1 in the league, and that helps the Pelicans to a top-six overall mark in defensive efficiency at 106.7 points allowed per 100 possessions. New Orleans lands in the top five in free throw rate allowed and points allowed in the paint, with above-average turnover creation and a top-10 mark in second-chance points allowed at only 11.7 per game.
Why the Clippers can cover
Los Angeles is elite on the offensive end, but the Clippers may also benefit from the struggles of the Pelicans offensively. New Orleans is currently a bottom-10 offensive team in the NBA, generating just 106.9 points per 100 possessions, and that includes a bottom-five turnover rate of 16.6 percent. The Clippers are a top-10 team in generating turnovers defensively, forcing a giveaway on 15.2 percent of possessions. Los Angeles is also a top-10 group in limiting points off turnovers at just 17.0 per game, and the Clippers are No. 2 in the league in second-chance points allowed (10.2 per game).
Offensively, the Clippers score at a top-three rate of 1.144 points per possession, leading the league in three-point shooting at 42.4 percent. That perimeter marksmanship allows L.A. to post top-five marks in overall shooting efficiency and, with a top-10 assist rate of 61.3 percent, the Clippers are well-rounded and potent.
How to make Pelicans vs. Clippers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with Brandon Ingram and Paul George projected to fall short of their season-long scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Clippers vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Pelicans vs. Clippers spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.