The Philadelphia 76ers aim to build on their dominant home record on Friday evening. The Sixers host the New Orleans Pelicans, with Philadelphia entering with a 25-7 record in its home building this season. The Pelicans are 30-36 overall but just 12-19 away from New Orleans. Furkan Korkmaz (ankle) is out of action for the Sixers. Brandon Ingram (ankle) and Josh Hart (thumb) are out for the Pelicans, with Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ankle) listed as questionable and Steven Adams (toe) listed as doubtful.
Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Sixers as 7.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 226.5 in the latest Pelicans vs. Sixers odds. Before you make any Sixers vs. Pelicans picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 20 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Pelicans vs. 76ers spread: Sixers -7.5
- Pelicans vs. 76ers over-under: 226.5 points
- Pelicans vs. 76ers money line: Pelicans +285, Sixers -345
- NO: The Pelicans are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- PHI: The 76ers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Pelicans can cover
New Orleans is an excellent offensive team, scoring 113.5 points per 100 possessions. The Pelicans lead the NBA in free throw attempts, averaging 26.2 per game, and they are also atop the league in offensive rebound rate, grabbing 30.2 percent of their own missed shots. New Orleans has a talented roster, but Zion Williamson is the centerpiece of the attack, averaging 27.0 points per game and shooting 61.1 percent from the floor. Williamson has scored 20 points or more in 15 consecutive games, averaging 29.1 points and 8.1 rebounds per contest in that sample.
On the other end, Philadelphia struggles with ball security, committing a turnover on 14.5 percent of possessions, and New Orleans has some strengths of its own. The Pelicans are No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rebound rate (75.7 percent) and No. 3 in foul avoidance, committing only 17.8 fouls per game.
Why the Sixers can cover
Philadelphia is red-hot right now, and the Sixers are led by a trio of star-level players. Joel Embiid has appeared in only 47 games but, when he plays, the Sixers are dominant, posting a 36-11 record. Embiid is averaging 29.1 points, 10.8 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game, keying Philadelphia's attack on both ends. Tobias Harris is also having a fantastic season, averaging 19.6 points per game with 60.5 percent true shooting.
Ben Simmons checks a lot of boxes on both ends, providing elite defense to go along with 14.4 points, 7.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game. Philadelphia's overall profile, especially in the form of its top-three defense, speaks for itself, but the Sixers also match up well with the Pelicans. New Orleans is just 25th in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing 1.13 points per possession, and the Pelicans are 26th in shooting efficiency allowed. The Pelicans are better on offense, but they also have issues with ball security, committing a turnover on 14.5 percent of offensive possessions this season.
How to make Sixers vs. Pelicans picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pelicans vs. Sixers? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.