The Philadelphia 76ers welcome the Atlanta Hawks to Wells Fargo Center on Friday. The teams matched up on Wednesday in the same venue, with the Sixers (41-21) winning in blowout fashion. Atlanta (34-29) will aim to stop a three-game losing skid on the road, with Philadelphia boasting a 24-7 home record in 2020-21. Kevin Huerter (shoulder), De'Andre Hunter (knee) and Cam Reddish (Achilles) are out for the Hawks. Trae Young (ankle), Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) and Clint Capela (heel) are questionable for Atlanta.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. The latest Sixers vs. Hawks odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Philadelphia as a 9.5-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 220. Before finalizing any Hawks vs. Sixers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,400 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,400 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 19 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-60 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Hawks vs. 76ers spread: 76ers -9.5
- Hawks vs. 76ers over-under: 220 points
- Hawks vs. 76ers money line: 76ers -500, Hawks +400
- ATL: The Hawks are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- PHL: The 76ers are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Hawks can cover
The Hawks are an effective, efficient offensive team this season. Atlanta is scoring 113.6 points per 100 possessions, a top-10 mark in the NBA, and the Hawks have balance as well. Atlanta ranks No. 4 in offensive rebounding, securing 28.8 percent of its own missed shots, and is also a top-10 team in ball security, committing a turnover on 13.4 percent of possessions. Atlanta is a top-five team in both free throw creation (24.3 attempts per game) and free throw accuracy (81.2 percent), which helps to boost efficiency.
On the defensive side, Capela has been a transforming force in protecting the rim and the glass. The Hawks are No. 7 in the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed, including the No. 3 mark in 3-point shooting allowed at 34.8 percent. Atlanta is also above-average in defensive rebound rate (74.0 percent), with a top-10 mark in limiting assists from their opponents, yielding only 24.1 per game.
Why the Sixers can cover
Philadelphia completely dismantled Atlanta on Wednesday, winning by 44 points and never trailing in the game. While that may not be representative, the 76ers are the better team, and they are led by an MVP candidate in Joel Embiid. Embiid is averaging 29.5 points and 10.9 rebounds per game while also anchoring Philadelphia's defense, and he boasts an impressive true shooting mark of 64 percent.
The 76ers are the No. 2 defensive team in the NBA, allowing fewer than 1.07 points per possession, and they also lead the league in free throw creation offensively. In addition, Philadelphia benefits from Atlanta's struggles in forcing turnovers. The 76ers do have issues with ball security, but the Hawks force a turnover on only 12.6 percent of defensive possessions. On the other end, Atlanta is below-average in shooting efficiency, with the 76ers ranking near the top of the league in preventing opponents from converting shots.
How to make Hawks vs. Sixers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Hawks vs. Sixers? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.