Sixers vs. Pacers odds, line: NBA picks, optimal predictions from model on 7-2 roll

A top-flight offense faces one of the NBA's best defenses when the Philadelphia 76ers (29-16) visit the Indiana Pacers (29-14) in a crucial Eastern Conference showdown on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. Both squads blasted inferior opponents by over 30 points in their last outing, but oddsmakers see this game coming down to the wire, with Indiana going off as a four-point favorite in the latest 76ers vs. Pacers odds, up one from the opening line. The over-under for total points scored is 224, down slightly from an opener of 224.5. Before making any NBA predictions for Thursday, check out the latest Sixers vs. Pacers picks from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is crushing its NBA picks this season. It entered Week 14 of the 2018-19 NBA season with a sterling 159-118 record on all top-rated picks, returning more than $3,000 to anybody following them. And it was particularly red-hot on its A-rated NBA picks against the spread in Week 13, going a blistering 7-2. Anybody following it is way up. 

Now, the model has analyzed all relevant data and crunched the numbers for 76ers vs. Pacers. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it has also generated an extremely strong point-spread selection that hits nearly 60 percent of the time, indicating that the line is way off. That pick is only available at SportsLine. 

The model says Indiana's strong offensive balance continues on Thursday, with six players projected to score in double-figures including Victor Oladipo (19) Bojan Bogdanovic (14), and Domantas Sabonis (14). 

That balance, combined with a defense that ranks second in the NBA in points allowed, has made Indiana an extremely tough out this season both straight-up and against the spread. The Pacers' 29-14 record is good for third place in the Eastern Conference. They're also over .500 against the spread this season, and have beat the number more often than not at home and as a favorite. Indiana is backed by one of the league's best home-court edges in the NBA at Bakers Life Fieldhouse.

But just because Indiana can beat opponents in a variety of ways doesn't mean it will cover the Sixers vs. Pacers spread. 

The Sixers will look to counter Indiana's rock-solid defense with an explosive offensive attack. They average 115.4 points, ranking second in the league. And their prowess on that end of the floor was on full display in their last outing, a 149-107 victory over the Timberwolves that marked the most points Philadelphia had scored at home in over two decades. 

Joel Embiid went off for 31 points and 13 rebounds in that game and Ben Simmons finished one assist shy of a triple-double while Jimmy Butler (19 points) and J.J. Redick (15 points) were major contributors as well.

Who wins 76ers vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread can you bank on nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the 76ers vs. Pacers spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model that's up nearly $3,000 on NBA picks this season.

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