The 2022 NBA Playoffs continue on Thursday with a Game 6 Western Conference semifinal matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks. Phoenix owns a 3-2 lead in the series after blowing out Dallas at home on Tuesday but now it will return to Dallas, where they lost Games 3 and 4. The home team has won by an average of 15.2 points per game thus far in this series and the Mavericks will need to hold serve to avoid elimination and some serious questions about how to go about building a better supporting cast for Luka Doncic.

The game will be played at the American Airlines Center on Thursday with tip-off scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Phoenix is a two-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the over-under is at 212 points. Before making any Suns vs. Mavericks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavs, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Suns:

  • Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Phoenix -2
  • Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 212 points
  • Suns vs. Mavericks money line: Phoenix -130, Dallas +110
  • PHO: Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four Thursday games
  • DAL: Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs
Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns

Why the Mavericks can cover

Doncic continues to be the most dominant force in this series, as he averages 32.0 points, 9.6 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game. However, it was Dallas' defense that helped them score a pair of wins at home earlier in the series and the ability to make things difficult on Chris Paul to stall the initiation of Phoenix's offense on Thursday will be critical once again.

Paul was uncharacteristically turnover-prone and unimpactful in Games 3 and 4. He turned the ball over nine times and only had 17 points and 11 assists in the two games. He was only able to play 23 minutes in the Game 4 loss because of foul trouble, so expect the Mavericks to go at him hard at both ends of the floor to take the 12-time all-star out of the game once again.

Why the Suns can cover

Guard Chris Paul is a true floor general for the Suns. Paul has been creative as a facilitator, consistently putting his teammates in great positions to score. The 12-time All-Star is a balanced scorer who can get a bucket from all three levels on the court. Paul is fantastic one-on-one and is money from mid-range. He is averaging 18.6 points while leading the team in assists (9.1) and steals (1.5). 

Forward Cameron Johnson is very athletic. Johnson is a solid shooter from the perimeter and can score in a variety of ways. The North Carolina product can do damage in the post over smaller defenders but is a slasher as well. He is averaging 11.2 points and 3.5 rebounds while shooting 36 percent from downtown. In Game 5, he logged 14 points, two steals, and a block.  

How to make Suns vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 215 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Suns? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Suns vs. Mavericks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.